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Fire this river?

  
 
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daven
Old 08-17-2007, 01:59 PM     Post subject: Fire this river? #1 (permalink)  
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Should I bet the river here? To me it reeked of AhKh. Guess the only real scare hand is qq, and I wouldn't expect a check-raise on this river. Naive? 46, 6ten, and ten jack i've discounted based on pre-flop and lack of turn action.

Party Poker 0.25/0.50 Hold'em (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver Cards)

Preflop: Hero is CO with , .
3 folds, MP2 raises, 1 fold, Hero 3-bets, 3 folds, MP2 calls.

Flop: (7.40 SB) , , (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets, MP2 calls.

Turn: (4.70 BB) (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets, MP2 calls.

River: (6.70 BB) (2 players)

MP2 checks, Hero?
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NWNewell
Old 08-17-2007, 02:30 PM #2 (permalink)  
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I would bet this river.

Well, based on his pfr, you more than likely beating more hands that he may go to the river with than beat you.

The post flop play narrows that range a bit, but I still think the above holds true. And if he wasn't able to put in a bet or c/r by the turn, I don't think he holds anything that he can c/r the river with (that beats you at least).
 
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Fnord
Old 08-17-2007, 05:02 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Sucker bet this river because people suck at poker and you don't know enough about this guy to check this behind.
 
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KoRnholio
Old 08-17-2007, 07:19 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Yeah, pretty much unless he has QQ (seems unlikely unless he thinks you're a nit) you are miles ahead of him. If he has a set or If he hit a straight on the turn, he would have let you know with a check-raise.
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