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To donk or not to donk. Heads up.

  
 
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asdpikas
Old 10-18-2009, 10:33 PM     Post subject: To donk or not to donk. Heads up. #1 (permalink)  
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To donk or not to donk. Heads up.

A "donk bet" is poker slang for a bet made out of position without the initiative (you were not the last player to put in a raise on the last street played).

I'll do my best to explain why HU donk betting the flop, in a vaccuum (no reads), is an inferior play. And why I just love villains that use it.

First, why do people do it?

1. As a pure bluff. Trying to take down the pot cheaply. Dry and paired boards are certainly among the most popular spots for this.
2. As a semibluff. Trying to take down the pot cheaply but with a draw to back it up.
3. For value. Hoping to bet/3bet with a monster draw or a monster made hand.
4. For protection of a weak made hand. Trying to take down the pot cheaply if possible, and not allowing opponent to take a free card.

These are the main objectives behind it, without reads/image/recent history taken into account (these can certainly change many plays in poker and this one is no exception).

Now, let's see how these objectives combined with the donk bet compare with other lines.

1. As a pure bluff. Check raising is clearly better.

If you are hoping to take it down because you think villain missed that flop, you will make a better profit by allowing him to c-bet that dry board. It also shows more strength and makes more sense in villain's head. Most people will c/r or c/call if they hit, so donking is an odd play that many times will just get the opposite reaction (a thinner call down with Ahi) than c/raising would.

2. As a semibluff. Check raising or check calling to c/r the turn are better.

Part of the semibluff is the bluff component which I've just mentioned. Already, if you reduce your chances of bluff success you are reducing the value of your semibluff. A c/r is better. Wether you choose the flop or turn is a different story.
The other part is you have a draw and if you are drawing, you dont accomplish that much by betting out yourself. You let your opponent charge you with his big hands, float you with other hands, give up on hopeless hands cheaply (see above), raise the flop to check the turn and call the river getting to showdown cheap, try a free showdown play on the turn...
By check raising you will again get an extra bet when he has a hopeless hand if he c-bets (most likely), or get a free card if he doesn't (less likely). Both are good for you, being on a draw.
If he has a big hand he will either 3bet the flop or pop the turn. Either way, you will pay about the same (0.5BB more) price getting to the river, but increasing your implied odds if you do hit and allowing you to play almost "error-free" from that point on.
With a mediocre hand, he may choose to call down, but when this happens you haven't cost yourself much more anyways.

3. For value. It may be counterintuitive but most of the time there is more value in the c/r than in the bet/3bet.

As stated above, you gain more when he has nothing. When he has a big hand (an overpair, AK tptk...) it is more likely he will call and pop the turn, allowing for a turn 3bet to go in, than if you show that much strength on the flop by b/3betting earlier. If he has a monster himself, the line you take wont change much as the raising will happen anyways regardless of which you choose. On his mediocre "call-down" hands you will usually get an extra 0.5BB with the c/r.

4. For protection. c/raising or c/calling are better.

If you are trying to protect your hand heads up, you believe you have the best hand at the moment. Then, why not c/r and get extra value from worse hands and hopeless c-bets while charging draws a little bit more? Or c/call to induce bluffs and get extra value that way?



Ok, so now... why do I love to face the donk bet? Simple, people using it allow me to make easier decisions, use my position, keep all my options open, and take the best line for my hand without much risk at all.

As stated, on a hopeless hand I will save myself the c-bet.

On a mediocre/calldown hand I can get to showdown cheap by just calling, inducing bluffs if he is bluffing or semibluffing and didnt get there, paying less when he has a big hand, reducing his implied odds to zero when he is drawing, and drawing cheaper if i am behind and need to improve.

By just calling on the flop, I also get to see what he does when the turn card comes (position!). I can still give up pretty cheap if I hate it, make plays (free SD, semibluffs) where I see fit, raise for value if I improve...

On a good hand I can raise the flop, getting good info from his reaction to my raise if he 3bets or calls. I can also wait for the turn to raise (for example on drawier boards, raising when a blank turns and calling down keeping the pot smallish if the board gets ugly). Waiting for the turn to raise will also help balance my semibluffs and moves.

On a monster. Well, we all just love to have a monster in position with villain betting....



Whatever happens, I will always take notes on people that use the flop donk bet HU. If I know why he usually does it I can exploit him even further than all this, and that is just pure awesome value.
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Chopper
Old 10-19-2009, 01:11 PM #2 (permalink)  
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i see your point, and think this is a well-constructed article. however, let's debate a few things you claim...

1.. at the very least, you should be mixing it up. donking some and c/r'sing some when pure bluffing. however to c/r bluff, you need someone to bet, and in lower stakes games you cannot be sure of that. if you want the pot, many times you need to fire first. leading/donking also affords you the best odds of taking down the pot while c/r'ing actually gives someone who fired at the pot an even better pot to tie themselves to.

2.. all valid points, but in the "air" portion, but with a draw, why arent we trying to take this pot down? if i have air, and you have air, i am trying to a) stake my claim at the pot first instead of letting you do it, and b) building a pot for my draw when i do get called/raised.

3.. but, you MUST be sure villain will bet. sometimes you can't be sure. you are definitely right in getting the extra .5BB, but again you have to be sure villain will even bet. when you have a strong hand, having your villain check behind is terrible.

4.. again, mix it up. if you always go for the c/r, you play right into an observant villain's hands, too. he will be able to b/3bet you with weaker strong hands AND simply call, with odds, on his draws/etc.

now, you are speaking of when YOU have position. flip-flop the situation. how often do YOU donk? if it's "never," it isn't often enough because you allow your opponent to play mistake free poker when he calls behind with proper odds, and you miss those opportunities where he flopped trash and would fold to a simple leading bet. and, if you say "always" again, you are donking too much, and are easily predictable...allowing your opponent to play correctly behind you....checking behind when he has weak stuff or is setting you up for later and b/3betting when he has something strong.

as always, the correct frequency is somewhere in between, and the proper frequency can be achieved with reads and observant play.

fun article, i just had to be a little bitch. lol.
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asdpikas
Old 10-19-2009, 03:58 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Hey Chop, thx for the comments.

To reply, first I will emphasize how my post was discussing the donk bet "in a vaccuum".

No reads, no history, no additional info. As I said before, additional info may change things.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chopper
i see your point, and think this is a well-constructed article. however, let's debate a few things you claim...

1.. at the very least, you should be mixing it up. donking some and c/r'sing some when pure bluffing.
I dont get it. You shouldnt mix up your bluffs with bluffs, you should mix them with real hands. So, if u sometimes donk-bluff, you should sometimes donk a good hand. Wether you also c/r bluff or not seems irrelevant. If u donked I just need to know what that means, not caring about whether u also bluff c/r (although i may use this info in other hands).

What this means is: if your donk always means a bluff, i dont care if you also bluff in other ways, i got my info for this situation. If you only donk bluff, but balance it well with donking real hands it may tell me about what other situations mean but gives me nothing in this particular one.

In reverse, if you always c/r your made hands mixing it up with some c/r bluffs, but never donk a made hand, I will know you are bluffing if u donk.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chopper
however to c/r bluff, you need someone to bet, and in lower stakes games you cannot be sure of that. if you want the pot, many times you need to fire first.
This is read-based, stakes-based, not-in-a-vaccuum. But even at the micros, villains will on average c-bet HU a high enough frequency, and correctly so (see Sklansky, Miller, Stox... books). Maybe not the optimal frequency, but still high enough.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chopper
leading/donking also affords you the best odds of taking down the pot while c/r'ing actually gives someone who fired at the pot an even better pot to tie themselves to.
A good point, but one that may backfire as I stated in OP.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chopper
2.. all valid points, but in the "air" portion, but with a draw, why arent we trying to take this pot down? if i have air, and you have air, i am trying to a) stake my claim at the pot first instead of letting you do it, and b) building a pot for my draw when i do get called/raised.
Well, shouldn't we go for the c/r? with the pure bluff you just made a point, but with a draw we dont get punished much if villain calls or raises since we actually have a decent amount of equity on the flop, and as far as future streets go, the c/r shows more strength and will in general increase our FE on turn and river.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chopper
3.. but, you MUST be sure villain will bet. sometimes you can't be sure. you are definitely right in getting the extra .5BB, but again you have to be sure villain will even bet. when you have a strong hand, having your villain check behind is terrible.
you dont need to be sure he will bet, you need to be sure he will bet a high percentage of the time. Again, in a vaccuum, on a HU pot, even at the micros you can assume this will be the case.

Having villain check may or not be terrible depending on many factors, but you are right, it is not good. Still, the check raise would never be used if you had to be "sure", and yes, it sometimes backfires. This doesnt mean its a bad play.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Chopper
4.. again, mix it up. if you always go for the c/r, you play right into an observant villain's hands, too. he will be able to b/3bet you with weaker strong hands AND simply call, with odds, on his draws/etc.
There are more ways to mix it up, tho. c/call flop and turn vs aggro light-flop-3bettors and bluffers. c/raise the flop, c/call the turn vs sticky tag-lags that like to semibluff/FSD on the turn. c/raise the flop, lead turn vs passives...

But again, we are in the balancing/reads region.

In a vaccuum!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chopper
now, you are speaking of when YOU have position. flip-flop the situation. how often do YOU donk? if it's "never," it isn't often enough because you allow your opponent to play mistake free poker when he calls behind with proper odds, and you miss those opportunities where he flopped trash and would fold to a simple leading bet. and, if you say "always" again, you are donking too much, and are easily predictable...allowing your opponent to play correctly behind you....checking behind when he has weak stuff or is setting you up for later and b/3betting when he has something strong.

as always, the correct frequency is somewhere in between, and the proper frequency can be achieved with reads and observant play.

fun article, i just had to be a little bitch. lol.
you said it. reads and observant play. I seldom donk. I never do it without reads, but will do it when the time is right as an exploitive play.

I insist in analising the line in a vaccuum because reads can go either way, and poker is such a complicated game that you cant take everything into account, so you should start with the most basic (in a vaccuum) situations and build from there fine tuning through reads, image, stakes, multiple level thinking, exploitive play, etc...
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Chopper
Old 10-19-2009, 05:07 PM #4 (permalink)  
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what i was saying was that if you are going to bluff, you shouldnt always do it the same way or in the same situation. if you donk AXX flops, you should also sometimes c/r them against aggros. or, if you donk paired boards, you should also float them with KQ and maybe bluff the turn. but, mostly, i dont think you should bluff. i was just trying to offer a counter argument stating you should never do the same thing ALL the time.

i see what you are saying, and you are right. mix up bluff lines with real hand lines is best. and, personally, i donk enough flops with made hands, i dont c/r bluff unless villain is a chronic cbettor and it appears obvious that the flop missed a typical raiser's range.....like 26Tr.

sorry. i dont do well with "vaccuum" theory. i dont think a lot of poker is played in a vaccuum. i see the point for discussion, but i often overlook the vaccuum part because it's just too abstract for my teeny little mind...lol.

remark on point 2.. yes, but in my experience this has to be used in conjunction with a read. i know this is a vaccuum idea, but there are so many stations down where i play that i tie them to pots while trying to build mine. its a sticky balance beam when you go through your normal runs of variance, as your swings get pretty violent. i dont think it increases FE at lower stakes. i think it increases their chances of calling down every time the pot gets a little bigger.

point taken, i forgot the vaccuum thing.

and, if you cant tell, i love to donk flops with air AND made hands. if i flop a set on a wet board, you can bet your ass i am donking 75% of the time and c/r'ing the other 25%...maybe worse. my reasoning is chronic low stakes villains. they will check behind since they play fit or fold and the minority will bet draws aggressively....even in position. it baffles me every time. but, that isnt a vaccuum statement. it just provides where some of my defense of donking is coming from. i can see times where it is a good thing. and, your post/article suggested that "in a vaccuum" donking is never good.
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Chopper
Old 10-19-2009, 05:10 PM #5 (permalink)  
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oh, i have a wicked rebellious streak that i havent gotten a handle on since i was 17 flipping years old. if you want me to argue with you, just say "always" or "never" and i will keep trying to prove you wrong. something in me just snaps, i guess.

hell, i even argue with my wife if she says those words. its really strange, and something i work on.....to no avail.
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LawDude
Old 10-19-2009, 05:37 PM #6 (permalink)  
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I am generally not a fan of donk bets, for many of the reasons asd indicates. It may seem stupid and rote to "check to the raiser" and then check-raise when you want to show strength, but in most instances it is a better play. Indeed, the better live limit players I know (who hang around the commerce 40-80 and 100-200 tables) very rarely donk into a raiser.

BUT:

There are at least 2 read-based situations when I think it is +EV to donk:

1. Against some villains, a donk works better as a bluff than a check-raise. The reason is that the check raise puts additional money into the pot and can therefore increase the pot odds on the call. The best example of this is overcards that miss a flop. Let's put villain in middle position with QJ. Hero is in the BB with 76s. Folds to villain, who raises, folds to Hero, who suspects a blind steal and has a good speculative hand, and calls.

Flop is 885 rainbow. Hero has an open-ended straight draw, but villain is ahead with his overcards. At this point, there are 4 1/2 small bets in the pot. If you check-raise, the decision point for villain is going to be with 7 1/2 small bets in the pot-- in other words, he is going to be getting 6 1/2 to 1 on his call with his overcards. If you donk, however, the villain is only going to be getting 4 1/2 to 1 to call.

Now, will the villain fold, call, or raise in this situation? That is read-dependent. But some villains will fold it, and this means that a donk semi-bluff can sometimes be +EV if you have a good read on the villain.

The second one is one asd discussed, but where I just disagree with him. IF your read is that you can get additional bets into the pot by leading out, and you are ahead of the villain's range, you shoud go ahead and lead out. This usually comes into play against maniacs. Many times, they will stop against a check-raise from a tight player (which announces a good hand), but will raise if you donk. So you get 3 bets in instead of 2 with the donk bet. (Of course, sometimes you can get even more bets in by slowplaying to the turn and check-raising or donking there. But this is all read-dependent.)
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asdpikas
Old 10-19-2009, 05:40 PM #7 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chopper
oh, i have a wicked rebellious streak that i havent gotten a handle on since i was 17 flipping years old. if you want me to argue with you, just say "always" or "never" and i will keep trying to prove you wrong. something in me just snaps, i guess.

hell, i even argue with my wife if she says those words. its really strange, and something i work on.....to no avail.
heh, happens to me sometimes too... you know i love a nice heated debate!

but the point with the whole vaccuum pure theory is mainly to set some axioms from which to start discussing non-vaccuum hands/theory.

At which point does it become "good" to donk?
What reads do u need?
Which stakes?
Recent history?

All these questions can be worked on once you discuss the abstract, purely theoretical, axioms to a degree. Imho.

Also, if it starts any sort of debate, it can only be a good thing.
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asdpikas
Old 10-19-2009, 05:47 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LawDude
There are at least 2 read-based situations when I think it is +EV to donk:

1. Against some villains, a donk works better as a bluff than a check-raise. The reason is that the check raise puts additional money into the pot and can therefore increase the pot odds on the call. The best example of this is overcards that miss a flop. Let's put villain in middle position with QJ. Hero is in the BB with 76s. Folds to villain, who raises, folds to Hero, who suspects a blind steal and has a good speculative hand, and calls.

Flop is 885 rainbow. Hero has an open-ended straight draw, but villain is ahead with his overcards. At this point, there are 4 1/2 small bets in the pot. If you check-raise, the decision point for villain is going to be with 7 1/2 small bets in the pot-- in other words, he is going to be getting 6 1/2 to 1 on his call with his overcards. If you donk, however, the villain is only going to be getting 4 1/2 to 1 to call.

Now, will the villain fold, call, or raise in this situation? That is read-dependent. But some villains will fold it, and this means that a donk semi-bluff can sometimes be +EV if you have a good read on the villain.

The second one is one asd discussed, but where I just disagree with him. IF your read is that you can get additional bets into the pot by leading out, and you are ahead of the villain's range, you shoud go ahead and lead out. This usually comes into play against maniacs. Many times, they will stop against a check-raise from a tight player (which announces a good hand), but will raise if you donk. So you get 3 bets in instead of 2 with the donk bet. (Of course, sometimes you can get even more bets in by slowplaying to the turn and check-raising or donking there. But this is all read-dependent.)
I actually agree with the maniac read 100%
It is one of the times i will go out donking, and no use to do anything else than to bet into him with a big hand in many cases.

I was more talking about your average TAG/TAG-LAG player, not going into extremes and reads, where i do believe it is such a common line for them to call your c/r and pop the turn with strong overpair/tptk kind of hands, that you actually, counterintuitively, have more chances of getting more bets in that way (with a 3bet going in on the turn)
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asdpikas
Old 10-19-2009, 05:50 PM #9 (permalink)  
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btw, no comments on the second part of OP?

how easy it is to exploit people who donk bet the flop regularly....
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Chopper
Old 10-19-2009, 07:59 PM #10 (permalink)  
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i dont think deep enough, at my levels, yet. sadly, i dont need to, yet. typically, i will lead/donk to see what my villain does...in limped pots. in raised pots, i tend to c/r more often because i can count on the bet. i think that stuff is obvious. i react to what he does with what i want to do with my hand and my read of his actions. i may 3bet or fold, possibly call and lead again or c/c or c/r the turn. it all depends. but, with me, monster or air, i will mix donking or c/r'ing to get things rolling. i feel i have a much bigger advantage, at my levels, when the pots get bigger. my opponents cant fold the 2nd best hands too often and play hands that are too weak to begin with. my default play becomes, "i have a strong hand, lead out and hope for a raise or call to tell me how strong you are."

as for those that donk regularly when i am in position, i still think the reactions/plans/exploitations are common sense. you should have a feel for your villains range vs the flop texture. therefore, you plan on pushing your equity, calling down when villain could be semibluffing and you have showdown value, and folding/floating when you have a flop that represents his range much stronger than yours.

of course, the exploiting can be carried farther into floating/betting scare cards, but those take reads and arent the nature of the post.

this is good for me to think about, though, because i typically dont. therefore, this can do nothing but help me.
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asdpikas
Old 10-20-2009, 12:09 PM #11 (permalink)  
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you should, imo

you may get away with it at the lower levels, but as you move up, you may be exploited more and more if you havent really thought it up
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Chopper
Old 10-20-2009, 12:27 PM #12 (permalink)  
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i will post some hands where i donk and where i dont....and reasons why. maybe we can discuss those and the light bulb may appear.
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asdpikas
Old 10-20-2009, 01:20 PM #13 (permalink)  
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To the donkers:

I stand by my "vaccuum" analysis of the flop donk HU. Nevertheless, I'm sure it isnt such an inferior play under certain circumstances. Chopper and Lawdude each brought one up (loose passive microstakes, playing a maniac).

So, take this with a grain of salt. Few thngs are absolutely wrong 100% of the time in poker. And here i was just considering the donk an inferior play, not necessarily a bad play.

I will also bring one up where it may be better to donk:

When you have a read on someone using the donk bet on the flop as a bluff on a regular basis. Donk-out your big hands.
If the read is he likes to donk his monsters, donk your semibluffs.

This should be a strong read. Seeing him do it once or twice is not enough. And you should not abuse this kind of exploitive play since villain will catch on to you and adapt himself.
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Chopper
Old 10-20-2009, 02:10 PM #14 (permalink)  
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Quote:
When you have a read on someone using the donk bet on the flop as a bluff on a regular basis. Donk-out your big hands.
If the read is he likes to donk his monsters, donk your semibluffs.
i think what you are saying here is: "because he donks monsters, he will be more likely to think YOU have a monster when you donk because players tend to read hands like they were playing them from your shoes?"

if so, i see what you are saying. however, i still think it's best to balance your own lines yourself. if you donk your cbets oop or bluffs, donk your made hands as well. if you c/r your made hands and donk your bluffs, you are easy to read. if you c/r your made hands, you need to c/r some of your air and weaker draws, too.

all in all, though, one thing hasnt quite been mentioned...... if you are constantly deciding whether or not to donk a flop, you may be playing oop too often.
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asdpikas
Old 10-20-2009, 06:15 PM #15 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chopper
Quote:
When you have a read on someone using the donk bet on the flop as a bluff on a regular basis. Donk-out your big hands.
If the read is he likes to donk his monsters, donk your semibluffs.
i think what you are saying here is: "because he donks monsters, he will be more likely to think YOU have a monster when you donk because players tend to read hands like they were playing them from your shoes?"

if so, i see what you are saying. however, i still think it's best to balance your own lines yourself. if you donk your cbets oop or bluffs, donk your made hands as well. if you c/r your made hands and donk your bluffs, you are easy to read. if you c/r your made hands, you need to c/r some of your air and weaker draws, too.

all in all, though, one thing hasnt quite been mentioned...... if you are constantly deciding whether or not to donk a flop, you may be playing oop too often.
but, this would be an exploitive line, and exploitive plays dont need balance... its like thin v-betting a station, you dont need to balance it unless he changes his style or adapts in some way, only that here i advise using it only in cases of very strong reads, and bewaring of him adapting much faster than stations or maniacs usually do to standard exploitive lines
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LawDude
Old 10-20-2009, 11:10 PM #16 (permalink)  
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Posts: 940
LawDude
Remember, also, the need for "balance" is directly related to the ability of your opponents to process information.

For instance, at the 15-30 table at Hollywood Park, you can generally steal blinds up the wazoo. Many of them don't adjust their calling and raising ranges, and as a result, you can just raise in late position and be careful in those few instances when they call or raise. There's no particular need for "balance" in this type of scenario.

When you need to balance is when you are up against opponents who will change their play in response to yours. Then you need to change your play in response to their anticipated changes. But if you do that against players who are NOT processing information, all you are doing is giving up a line that is +EV.
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LawDude
Old 10-21-2009, 02:27 AM #17 (permalink)  
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LawDude
This hand was donktastic:

PokerStars Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (10 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Preflop: Hero is CO with A, K
1 fold, UTG+1 calls, 4 folds, Hero raises, Button calls, 2 folds, UTG+1 calls

Flop: (7.4 SB) K, A, 2 (3 players)
UTG+1 bets, Hero calls, Button raises, UTG+1 calls, Hero calls

Turn: (6.7 BB) 8 (3 players)
UTG+1 bets, Hero raises, Button calls, UTG+1 3-bets, Hero calls, Button calls

River: (15.7 BB) 4 (3 players)
UTG+1 bets, Hero calls, Button calls

Total pot: $9.35 (18.7 BB) | Rake: $0.40

Results below:
Button mucked 10, A (one pair, Aces).
UTG+1 had A, 8 (two pair, Aces and eights).
Hero had A, K (two pair, Aces and Kings).
Outcome: Hero won $8.95
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Chopper
Old 10-21-2009, 04:13 AM #18 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: St. Louis, MO
Posts: 4,255
Chopper
i want to know why hero didnt raise the flop and charge flush draws that arent folding? and, why hero didnt cap the turn, as played? all you are worried about are 88 and 22. you dont want to see a heart, and are gaining value a large portion of the time simultaneously, imo.

if i am UTG1, i c/r here because i want you to clarify to me how much you like your hand with a 3bet. hero raised pre, so i am likely behind a portion of his range....and would like to know soon. i dont see hero raising a donk lead from me with AT-AQ. if i were villain and hand AK, however, i lead and hope to get 3bets in when someone aggro raises their draw.
LHE is a game where your skill keeps you breakeven until you hit your rush of random BS.

Nothing beats flopping quads while dropping a duece!
 
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LawDude
Old 10-21-2009, 06:29 AM #19 (permalink)  
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LawDude
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chopper
i want to know why hero didnt raise the flop and charge flush draws that arent folding? and, why hero didnt cap the turn, as played? all you are worried about are 88 and 22. you dont want to see a heart, and are gaining value a large portion of the time simultaneously, imo.

if i am UTG1, i c/r here because i want you to clarify to me how much you like your hand with a 3bet. hero raised pre, so i am likely behind a portion of his range....and would like to know soon. i dont see hero raising a donk lead from me with AT-AQ. if i were villain and hand AK, however, i lead and hope to get 3bets in when someone aggro raises their draw.
my plan was to slowplay to the turn because AK is such an undisguised hand and i wanted to get more bets into the pot.

the turn 3-bet, however, means a set often enough that i need to slow down, especially since nobody is folding anyway.

by the way, both villains had just sat down. i had no reads or stats on either. utg+1 turned out to love the donk bet and never respected pre-flop raises, though i did not know this at the time. the other villain, strangely, turned out to be 18/9/1.4 over the 85 hands i played against him, so i am not sure what was going on here.
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