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Do you chase here?

  
 
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Stripclubjunkie
Old 03-18-2006, 08:22 PM     Post subject: Do you chase here? #1 (permalink)  
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Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 7, 7.
1 fold, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 calls, 2 folds, Hero calls, CO calls, Button raises, SB calls, 1 fold, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 calls, Hero calls, CO calls.

Flop: (13 SB) A, 8, 2 (6 players)
SB checks, UTG+1 checks, UTG+2 checks, Hero checks, CO checks, Button checks.

Turn: (6.50 BB) 9 (6 players)
SB checks, UTG+1 checks, UTG+2 checks, Hero checks, CO bets, Button folds, SB calls, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 calls, Hero calls.

River: (11.50 BB) 8 (5 players)
SB checks, UTG+1 checks, UTG+2 checks, Hero checks, CO checks.

Final Pot: 11.50 BB
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thenonsequitur
Old 03-18-2006, 08:27 PM     Post subject: Re: Do you chase here? #2 (permalink)  
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thenonsequitur
I think it's unlikely you have the best hand, and without improvement it will be even more unlikely that you will have the best hand by showdown. As far as your draw goes, you're only getting 10:1 odds on a 22:1 shot to a set (and on top of that your outs may be tainted). Implied odds can't make up for the deficit. I fold.
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Demiparadigm
Old 03-19-2006, 09:09 PM     Post subject: Re: Do you chase here? #3 (permalink)  
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Demiparadigm
Quote:
Originally Posted by thenonsequitur
I think it's unlikely you have the best hand, and without improvement it will be even more unlikely that you will have the best hand by showdown. As far as your draw goes, you're only getting 10:1 odds on a 22:1 shot to a set (and on top of that your outs may be tainted). Implied odds can't make up for the deficit. I fold.

Exactly.

I never call this bet. CO usually has an ace, and expected button to bet the flop.
To win in poker you only need to be one step ahead of your opponents. Two steps may be detrimental.
 
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