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LawDude
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04-01-2009, 06:05 PM
Post subject: crying calls
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#1 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 940
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Part of a very memorable 2 hour stretch of poker last night were the following hands.
Hand 1:
I am in MP with QdJc, folds to me, I raise, CO calls, folds to BB, who calls.
Flop is QsJs4h. I check. CO bets, BB folds, I raise, CO calls.
Turn is Ac. I bet, CO raises, I call.
River is 7d. I check, CO bets. Hero ????
Hand 2:
I am on button with 9c7c. 4 players limp, I limp, SB calls, BB checks.
Flop is T97 rainbow. Checks to MP1. MP1 bets, MP2 calls. Folds to me. I raise. SB, BB, MP1, and MP2 call.
Turn is a 6. SB bets, BB and MP1 call, MP2 raises, I call, SB, BB and MP1 call.
River is a 7. SB and BB check, MP1 bets, MP2 calls, I raise, SB and BB fold.
MP1 and MP2 both have straights. Do they call?
Hand 3:
I am in MP1 with Ah9h. UTG raises, I call, CO re-raises, Button caps, SB, BB, UTG, MP1 (me), and CO call.
Flop is QhJh4s. Checks to me. I bet. CO calls. Button raises. SB and BB fold. UTG, MP1, and CO call.
Turn is 8c. UTG checks. I check. CO bets. Button raises. UTG folds. I call. CO calls.
River is 2h. I bet. CO folds.
Button has a straight. Does he call?
I know all the poker books talk about how good the pot odds are in these situations, and how you only have to be right say 15 percent of the time to make money and therefore you have to call. But is it really a good idea to throw in another BB on the river in a situation where you know you are beat? In other words, is the call really successful 15 percent of the time.
I won't reveal the results because I am trying to generate discussion, but for purposes of this discussion understand that none of the players involved had any established particular history of deceptive plays (I had actually pulled off one bluff earlier in the session, I didn't show it and none of the other players knew it).
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Chopper
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: St. Louis, MO
Posts: 4,255
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are these live, hence no converter? if so, are they 5/10 or below? if so...
hand one... i call here all day long. i see 444/KT/A4 here a lot, but i also see someone trying to pull a fast one on me, too. in other words, i pay it off. with KQ, i may fold, though. that c/r usually has a one pair hand beat. although, looking at it, this may not be so good, we pretty much only beat one pair hands. but, i call w/o taking time, usually.
hand two... yes, they are completely trapped by a huge pot and are only calling one more. its a 21bb pot when its one back to them, they cant be 95% sure you are on a boat.
hand three... yes, he calls. again, this pot is even bigger. there is at least a 5% chance you are bluffing.
here's the thing, imo, and i know you know this...
losing these pots to lesser hands is the fastest way to brokesville. however, calling off one more bet, IS just one more bet. if the pot were HU and .5 bb's, then, calling off "one more" is pretty bad. but, when you have winning chances in big pots (ie 2pr+), i think you have to make crying calls.
you dont have to win THIS EXACT SCENARIO 1 in 20. you only have to win those like it. flushes when the river pairs, str8s when the flush hits, sets with proper boat odds into a aggressive player, etc. these situations come up a lot. and, i can remember seeing some stupid shit bluffing or overplaying their hands.
these are all calls, imo. i will gladly spend one bb to win 20 when i see only 3 to a straight or flush.
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LHE is a game where your skill keeps you breakeven until you hit your rush of random BS.
Nothing beats flopping quads while dropping a duece!
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LawDude
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Full House
Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 940
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Chopper
are these live, hence no converter? if so, are they 5/10 or below? if so...
hand one... i call here all day long. i see 444/KT/A4 here a lot, but i also see someone trying to pull a fast one on me, too. in other words, i pay it off. with KQ, i may fold, though. that c/r usually has a one pair hand beat. although, looking at it, this may not be so good, we pretty much only beat one pair hands. but, i call w/o taking time, usually.
hand two... yes, they are completely trapped by a huge pot and are only calling one more. its a 21bb pot when its one back to them, they cant be 95% sure you are on a boat.
hand three... yes, he calls. again, this pot is even bigger. there is at least a 5% chance you are bluffing.
here's the thing, imo, and i know you know this...
losing these pots to lesser hands is the fastest way to brokesville. however, calling off one more bet, IS just one more bet. if the pot were HU and .5 bb's, then, calling off "one more" is pretty bad. but, when you have winning chances in big pots (ie 2pr+), i think you have to make crying calls.
you dont have to win THIS EXACT SCENARIO 1 in 20. you only have to win those like it. flushes when the river pairs, str8s when the flush hits, sets with proper boat odds into a aggressive player, etc. these situations come up a lot. and, i can remember seeing some stupid shit bluffing or overplaying their hands.
these are all calls, imo. i will gladly spend one bb to win 20 when i see only 3 to a straight or flush.
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These were all 9/18 live during a session in which I ran hot (look out!) and made over $1,000 in 2 hours. This is a very good reply that makes all the right points, and I think that 95 percent of top limit players agree with you. I'll see if anyone else has anything to say and then maybe discuss what I surmise the other 5 percent might say.
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LawDude
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Full House
Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 940
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OK, I didn't generate any interest.
Here are the results.
In hand 1, Hero folded. (I'll explain why in a second.) CO turned over KhTh and said "nice laydown".
In hands 2 and 3, Villains called with their straights.
Now why did I lay down hand 1? It isn't that I really disagree with the math that says "call". But to me, you can't be a slave to a math without taking into account your reads.
There was, in my opinion, only one hand that was consistent with CO's betting pattern, pre-flop and on flop, turn, and river, in hand 1, and that was KT. Thus, to be bluffing, he had to have executed a scheme at least from the flop onward to play this hand in this way and represent the straight. Now, is it possible to do that? Sure. But how often do you really see it in limit? He's putting out 3 big bets there (2 on the turn and one on the river) with little apparent fold equity, because most people will call him down.
Now, is a call incorrect here? No, because as you note, the pot odds are so big. But I don't think a call is automatic either. I have a read that places Villain on the narrowest of ranges, I have a pretty strong conviction that it is accurate, and that, in my mind, reduces the likelihood that Villain is bluffing.
If the idea is that about 1 in 10 times the Villains may be bluffing, then is the correct approach to call 100 percent of the time or 90 percent of the time? Well, it depends on how confident you are in your reads.
Hands 2 and 3 actually seem even stronger candidates for folds, despite the humongous pots.
Consider: (1) I am betting the river aggressively against MULTIPLE players representing made hands. I have close to zero fold equity here, don't I? (2) Unlike in hand 1, where the fold has to be based on narrowing the Villain's range to one hand, KT, in hands 2 and 3 there's a whole range of different hands I might have that beat the Villains. In 2, I might have filled up on any set, hit quads, or had any 2 pair with a 7 in it. In 3, I could have had Ahxh, Khxh, or any suited connectors or one gappers.
So there are a huge range of hands that I could have had that could have sucked out on the Villains on the river. What could my bet possibly mean but that I did it?
Indeed, the whole reason I made those bets is because I knew I had no fold equity. They were value bets, meant to be called, and they were called.
Here's the point. Most of the time, the crying call is fine. But if you have enough conviction in your reads, and you have thought through the hand and the Villain's actions do not make logical sense as a bluff, there is nothing wrong with folding. Certainly, the reasoning "I'm getting great pot odds" has little application if you really are sure you are beat. But you need to really be sure, and the reason calling is a good play is that many times you really aren't sure.
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Chopper
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: St. Louis, MO
Posts: 4,255
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i agree with "conviction in your reads," but most players you play against are not thinking that way. they are not understanding that YOU, specifically YOU, are betting into multiple players with zero FE. they dont think that deep i suspect, even at 9/18 live. maybe more do than at 3/6 (where you will still find some that do), but i bet you a decent chunk that if this is a standard casino, most still dont.
therefore, you have to still be careful with your reads, too. trust them, sure. but, lean towards math when the pots get super large. to me, "large" is a 3bet pot or 10+ bb's. and "super large" is 3way capped or 20+ bb's. of course, this isnt a rigid rule, either, but it is my default definition. and, i generally play by the math if i dont have one hell of a history on the villains.
oh, and when you find those that DO think a little deeper (whether it be 3/6 live or 25c/50c online), BLUFF THE FUCKOLI OUT OF THEM! you can really run some elaborate bluffs into only them that will make the rest of the table think you are a complete dickshit.
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LHE is a game where your skill keeps you breakeven until you hit your rush of random BS.
Nothing beats flopping quads while dropping a duece!
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Chopper
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: St. Louis, MO
Posts: 4,255
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here is one of my examples...
dont know squat about villain, but i know what this is 90% of the time. its the flush. but, look at the pot! i have top freaking set, but KNOW i am beat....unless dickshit vansuckout is pulling something really stupid with two pair (which i see with some frequency when the second pair hits the river). so, i MUST call......w/o a read i trust.
as always, its a cake limit hand that our converter always thinks is NL. it was 50/1, too.
Cake Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) - Cake-Poker Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP1 ($45.83)
MP2 ($38)
MP3 ($49.50)
CO ($50.25)
Button ($19.75)
SB ($33.75)
Hero (BB) ($30.75)
UTG ($22.50)
UTG+1 ($7.25)
Preflop: Hero is BB with A , A
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.50, MP1 calls $0.50, 4 folds, SB calls $0.25, Hero bets $1, UTG+1 calls $0.50, MP1 calls $0.50, SB calls $0.50
Flop: ($4) A , 9 , 6 (4 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.50, 1 fold, MP1 calls $0.50, SB calls $0.50
Turn: ($5.50) 5 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1, 1 fold, SB raises to $2, Hero calls $1
River: ($9.50) 3 (2 players)
SB bets $1, Hero calls $1
Total pot: $11.50 | Rake: $0.50
Results in white below:
SB had J , 10 (flush, Jack high).
Hero didn't show A , A (nothing).
Outcome: SB won $11
my question is: should i have 3bet/capped the turn with him with all my redraw outs? i think i should have, but i was so sold on him having the flush, i took the safe route.
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LHE is a game where your skill keeps you breakeven until you hit your rush of random BS.
Nothing beats flopping quads while dropping a duece!
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PlayinLdP
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Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 6
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I tried answering this thread before I read the results:
Hand 1:
I 3bet the turn here, you have two-pair and outs if you are behind to a straight. The worst spot you could be in would be against AJ and the J hits on the river. I think you have to push the small edges of value here and maximize profit from hands like Ax, and semi-bluff hands like flush draws, gut shot draws and lower pairs + flush draws. If he caps the turn, I c/c the river. If he just calls the turn, I bet out the river and call a raise. VALUE TOWN, push those small edges and don't always worry about the nuts, even though K10 seems very likely, my best guess would be Ax with nut flush draw.
I have now seen your results but it doesn't change my line here. I could never laydown two-pair to one more bet. I see that this is live play and bluffing would be less likely. So with that in mind the call on the turn and c/c river would be a solid play as well, imo.
Hand 2:
I don't mind even raising pre-flop here. You have position with a good enough hand which plays easy after the flop, hit or miss. Plus you have the chance of knocking out the blinds increasing the dead money in the pot. But, since I know it's live play now, I will adjust my line. So I like the call here, more people call live and keep you honest and there is less bluffing and semi-bluffing imo. With that said you got lucky on the river and I think you knew you were behind on the turn. But I would call too and and fold the river to two bets if my 2pair didn't fiil up. And yes they both call, it's live play, and they both have straights, easy call.
Hand 3:
I am really having a tough time adjusting my thinking right now back to live play for these hands. Since I have just played 10000 hands recently online of limit 6-max, my head is hard-wired for that type of play! So with this being full-ring play things change too.
I don't like the flat call here in MP1, even though the result was excellent, you have to realize poker sometimes rewards bad plays. UTG raises and you flat call! I think that is a bad choice here, what can you beat, A8 or be in a flip or worse and you haven't even heard from the rest of the feild. It is imperative to make the right choices pre-flop and then flop play is that much easier. You are coming into a pot with a potential dominated hand. What if you flop an Ace and you are out-kicked, or if the flop comes 9 high and there is an over-pair? You are stuck paying off better hands!
As played you pick up a huge hand here on the flop. When I flop the nut flush draw with no pair on the board my thinking is to maximize the size of the pot and keep as many callers in the pot who could pay you off or even raise you with a lower flush! Now because there have been re-raises and caps from the CO and button you have to expect them to continue. So let them bet the hand which is what the feild expects and call down any raise. You have no real chance of getting a free card here because you are OOP, so just call both flop and turn until you hit. So you hit on the river, it's funny how sometimes one card can make the difference between a winning or losing session. I have played a lot of 4-8 live and I have seen pots when the kill is on (turns to 8-16 when a player wins 2 hands in a row) for over $400. Basically putting you in the black for the night! There might be a case for checking here, but I like the idea of betting it out and getting at least one more bet. To answer your question does he call? Well I personally would call with Ace high just to see the result. The pot is so huge it would be a mistake not too. So of cousre the staight calls, they might even raise!
As for your 2nd post. I respect your reads and understand live to be a different ball game and I have played a bit of both. But I think it is of utter importance to call in hand 1. You are playing 9/18 and players can easily be making moves here with less (earlier I mentioned in live play that players are less likely to bluff, but I think it's still possible). If you know this player to be a rock and never bluff then fine, but even then I call. Math in poker is about making correct decisions even when you are behind, and reads are always incomplete, even if you hit them right on the nose. It's not hard to look at a board and say well the nuts is this. If I knew you were to fold two-pair on the river I would semi-bluff you every opportunity I got. 9/18 is no small game, I know it's considered medium stakes but players are still playing a $1000 behind. They are smart and very capable of bluffing even in limit.
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LawDude
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Full House
Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 940
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Thanks for a great reply, Playin.
The first thing you should know is that it isn't as easy to bluff me as you might think. I probably make the crying call at least 80 percent of the time. And I always do it if the betting pattern looks the least suspicious. In other words, it isn't simply that you represent a big hand on the river-- I go back and think through the play on all streets and determine if it is consistent with what you represent on the river. And I also take into account whether I have seen any deceptive play form you in the past.
But what I don't follow is the reasoning that "because the pot odds are so high, you should always make the crying call". If my reads allow me to narrow the Villain's range to the point where he clearly beats me, and there's no reason to suspect a bluff or believe that one has occurred, I may (sometimes) decide not to make the crying call.
That said, your post contains great insight about the hands that I played. I like the idea of a turn 3-bet in hand 1. And it seems to me that you can go either way on raising or calling with a good suited connector hand on the button in a multi-way pot. The interesting thing about pre-flop raises in live games is that they don't get anyone out of the pot who is already in there. In other words, the players yet to act may fold (despite having position on you!), but the players behind you will always call. Personally, I find this to sometimes be very bad poker, because these players are paying extra to remain in a hand against a player who is representing a better hand and has position. But as a result of that, the raise on the button with suited connectors will just build the pot, it won't drive anyone out, and that's exactly what you want.
As for hand 3, if I can't isolate with a hand like A9s, and the pot is going to be a family pot, I tend to like to play it something like suited connectors. In other words, I am not looking to pair my ace, though if I hit a pair and I can figure out that nobody else has an ace I can take down the pot with it. Rather, I am looking to hit a nut flush, which is likely to win unless someone with a pocket pair gets lucky and fills up, and which is likely to dominate a flush or straight made by a player playing suited connectors. So I want lots of players in the pot to give me good implied odds if I hit a flush or 4 to a flush on the flop. If I miss the flop, I am generally out with this hand in this situation.
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PlayinLdP
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Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 6
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I see what you are saying Lawdude regarding the crying calls. It is a part of my game that I question over and over when I make calls with hands like Ace high. But, I mainly play 6 max and Ace high still has some value. I am relying more on my reads as I get better to make marginal laydowns or calls, instead of auto-calling every hand that contains an Ace or a pair.
Since this is live play it is hard to relate with the moment, because every table has a life to itself and must be played accordingly. It sounds like you did have a good read on a few of these players.
Again hand 1, I am ultra aggro. with my big hands, I usually don't slow down and I try squeeze in any extra value I can when I think I'm ahead. But knowing you didn't have the nuts and it was very likely he did according to your read you played the turn correctly. But again I think the call on the river is necessary even if your read is Phil Ivey like!
Hand 3, I see what you are trying to achieve here. There is greater value with suited Aces in full-ring limit so making a call is not always a mistake. But I think this call in MP1 is generally going to cost you in the long-run. First of all you have to figure your up against somewhat of strong hand with the UTG raise. If he is a total donk who would raise JKo there then I would raise back with a lot of hands, but I probably look for something a bit stronger. AJs and better and try to isolate the org. raiser with a re-raise.
In the hand you played, the worst thing possibly happened pre-flop, it got capped. Now you are OOP and playing with a marginal hand. This is a hand to be played in the CO or Button, because you can raise for a possible free turn card when you flop a flush draw or you can smooth call when necessary to maximize opponents in the hand. If a hand is not good enough to play offsuit it is generally not good enough to play suited. Of course it value goes up in this situation but don't overvalue it. Odds to flop a flush are .08% and a flush draw is 10.9%. I think when you get capped here you have to guess the only way to win this hand is a) flush, b) trips 9's or 2 pair and c) some other lucky hand like a straight. Either way you are paying too much to see these possibilities through in this instance.
What I have learnt over the past couple months is just how crucial position is with the value of your hand. Position is actually everything! To me it's the only way to make money in the long run, by playing position appropriately, especially with good but possibly dominated hands like A9s.
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BennyLaRue
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Full House
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 646
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by LawDude
But what I don't follow is the reasoning that "because the pot odds are so high, you should always make the crying call".
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Who is following this blanket reasoning without thought though? Crying calls are NOT automatic.
The advice to often make a crying call in a huge pot is only applicable in conditions where:
1) there are no players left to act behind you
2) you actually have a hand, ex. "I called down the nut flush draw and missed but I still have A-high" against multiple opps is not a hand
3) the board isn't painfully obvious, ex. 4 spades, 4 to a straight and an overcard on the river, your JhJd is no goot.
If you're suggesting that you don't always make crying calls, good. But it's best to make that decision based on stats and situations, not when you have a "gut feel" that you're beat.
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LawDude
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Full House
Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 940
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by BennyLaRue
Quote:
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Originally Posted by LawDude
But what I don't follow is the reasoning that "because the pot odds are so high, you should always make the crying call".
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Who is following this blanket reasoning without thought though? Crying calls are NOT automatic.
The advice to often make a crying call in a huge pot is only applicable in conditions where:
1) there are no players left to act behind you
2) you actually have a hand, ex. "I called down the nut flush draw and missed but I still have A-high" against multiple opps is not a hand
3) the board isn't painfully obvious, ex. 4 spades, 4 to a straight and an overcard on the river, your JhJd is no goot.
If you're suggesting that you don't always make crying calls, good. But it's best to make that decision based on stats and situations, not when you have a "gut feel" that you're beat.
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Benny, your approach is quite reasonable, but indeed, I have read several books on limit where the authors basically say that if you have a made hand on the river, you should always make the crying call on the river because it is just "one more big bet".
But I NEVER play based on "gut feel". When I say I make a read, I am talking about backtracking through the hand and narrowing the player's range, and then backtracking through the other hands I have seen from that player and asking myself whether any other possibility makes sense.
If all I had was "gut feel", I would always make the crying call.
Gut feel <<<< Pot odds < Reads based on actual situation, prior behavior, and what hands I would put in player's range based on all information I have.
That's how I play. And as I said, MOST of the time I end up making the crying call anyway.
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LawDude
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Full House
Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 940
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by PlayinLdP
I see what you are saying Lawdude regarding the crying calls. It is a part of my game that I question over and over when I make calls with hands like Ace high. But, I mainly play 6 max and Ace high still has some value. I am relying more on my reads as I get better to make marginal laydowns or calls, instead of auto-calling every hand that contains an Ace or a pair.
Since this is live play it is hard to relate with the moment, because every table has a life to itself and must be played accordingly. It sounds like you did have a good read on a few of these players.
Again hand 1, I am ultra aggro. with my big hands, I usually don't slow down and I try squeeze in any extra value I can when I think I'm ahead. But knowing you didn't have the nuts and it was very likely he did according to your read you played the turn correctly. But again I think the call on the river is necessary even if your read is Phil Ivey like!
Hand 3, I see what you are trying to achieve here. There is greater value with suited Aces in full-ring limit so making a call is not always a mistake. But I think this call in MP1 is generally going to cost you in the long-run. First of all you have to figure your up against somewhat of strong hand with the UTG raise. If he is a total donk who would raise JKo there then I would raise back with a lot of hands, but I probably look for something a bit stronger. AJs and better and try to isolate the org. raiser with a re-raise.
In the hand you played, the worst thing possibly happened pre-flop, it got capped. Now you are OOP and playing with a marginal hand. This is a hand to be played in the CO or Button, because you can raise for a possible free turn card when you flop a flush draw or you can smooth call when necessary to maximize opponents in the hand. If a hand is not good enough to play offsuit it is generally not good enough to play suited. Of course it value goes up in this situation but don't overvalue it. Odds to flop a flush are .08% and a flush draw is 10.9%. I think when you get capped here you have to guess the only way to win this hand is a) flush, b) trips 9's or 2 pair and c) some other lucky hand like a straight. Either way you are paying too much to see these possibilities through in this instance.
What I have learnt over the past couple months is just how crucial position is with the value of your hand. Position is actually everything! To me it's the only way to make money in the long run, by playing position appropriately, especially with good but possibly dominated hands like A9s.
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Another good post. No, in general, I don't like to get into capped pots with A9s when I am not the aggressor and I am out of position. But at many of the full ring live tables that I play at, the implied odds on this sort of thing are actually pretty high. (At 6-max, I'd never do this in a million years!) The reason for this is that the result of most capped pots isn't folding, but "gamboooooool!". These people love to be in capped pots with whatever trash hand they might have. And they will keep calling your bets to the river. (Indeed, they will usually call on the river, which was the point of this post.) I am about 10 percent to flop a flush draw or a flush, and I am also 33 percent to hit my ace, which is good at least some of the time (and I can often figure it out and bail out of the hand when it isn't). But I haven't rigorously done the math here, and it is entirely possible that, especially out of position, it is a negative EV play and I shouldn't be doing it. I'll game out some of the typical scenarios this weekend and if the math doesn't work out, I'll adjust my pre-flop play.
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BennyLaRue
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Full House
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 646
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by LawDude
Benny, your approach is quite reasonable, but indeed, I have read several books on limit where the authors basically say that if you have a made hand on the river, you should always make the crying call on the river because it is just "one more big bet".
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I've read the same, but always in the context of being heads-up, or at least last to act on the river. It is potentially not just one more big bet with players still to act.
If you have read a book that suggests to always call regardless of situation or cards, please let me know what it is so I can stay away from it.
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