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can i muck this?

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asdpikas

09-15-2008, 05:25 PM Post subject: can i muck this?

#1 (permalink)

Full House

Join Date: Jul 2007

Posts: 1,056

Fishy table.

1/2 Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($61.75)
UTG 1 ($66.75)
CO ($16.00)
Hero ($48.50)
SB ($48.50)
BB ($16.00)

Pre-flop: (1.5 SB, 6 players) Hero is BTN

UTG calls, UTG 1 calls, 1 fold, Hero raises, 1 fold, BB calls, UTG calls, UTG 1 calls

Flop:

(8.5 SB, 4 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, UTG 1 bets, Hero raises, BB folds, UTG calls, UTG 1 3-bets, Hero 4-bets, UTG calls, UTG 1 calls

Turn:

(10.2 BB, 3 players)
UTG checks, UTG 1 checks, Hero bets, UTG calls, UTG 1 calls

River:

(13.2 BB, 3 players)
UTG checks, UTG 1 bets, Hero ???

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Chopper

09-15-2008, 06:26 PM

#2 (permalink)

Straight Flush

Join Date: Dec 2005

Location: St. Louis, MO

Posts: 4,255

13:1, prolly 14:1, i cant find a fold at a fishy table, although i expect i'm beat. UTG is drawing and i doubt he'll spring to life...in fact, he's probably folding right after we call.

i am having a hard time seeing anything but KT, possibly both hearts, here. i cant see Q9/J9. i cant see a set waiting so long with you being so aggressive. would KK just call your raise pf? i think there could be a large % of stupid bluffs here.

LHE is a game where your skill keeps you breakeven until you hit your rush of random BS.

Nothing beats flopping quads while dropping a duece!

Col Shuffles

09-15-2008, 08:36 PM

#3 (permalink)

Join Date: Aug 2008

Posts: 6

I think you'll easily win more often than the required 7% to make a profit. His bet on the river suggests that he improved to two pair or better but you can't give him so much credit for playing logically without a specific read.

DrivingDog

09-16-2008, 01:16 AM

#4 (permalink)

Full House

Join Date: Jul 2007

Location: UK

Posts: 923

I probably just call the 3bet on the flop then raise the turn to try to shut UTG out.

As played, the donk by UTG+1 on the river is strong but I don't see how we can fold for just one more bet in a pot this big. He prolly has us beat but he could also be doing some random strange thing with KQ or whatever.

"You can fool some of the people all of the time, and those are the ones you want to concentrate on." (George Bush).

Fnord

09-16-2008, 01:38 AM

#5 (permalink)

Moderator

Join Date: Dec 2003

Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck

Posts: 19,333

Fnord is an unknown quantity at this point

Flop cap vs call is an interesting decision.

River I call because I'm a pay-off bitch.

Then I remember why I hate the Limited Hold'Them (The Pinto of Poker.)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBvge-c2_Xg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-Xz8aLuD7Y

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