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Hermann the Lombard
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10-28-2007, 06:40 AM
Post subject: AQo TPGK on drawy board
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#1 (permalink)
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Flush
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 270
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PokerStars 0.10/0.20 Hold'em (7 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
Preflop: Hero is BB with A , Q .
3 folds, CO calls, Button calls, SB completes, Hero raises, CO calls, Button calls, SB calls.
Flop: (8 SB) 5 , 4, A (4 players)
SB bets, Hero raises, CO calls, Button folds, SB calls.
Turn: (7 BB) 3 (3 players)
SB bets, Hero...
SB is a fishy 68/5.4/0.75, no significant notes but I felt I was ahead of him.
CO is also fishy: 42/0/0.47 I had seen him call a flop with a nut flush draw and then bet the turn with the flush.
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arborman
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Flush
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 300
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SB probably has a weak ace (A2-10). It's possible he spiked his kicker or has A2, but he might also be one of those zillion players who will bet and call a paired ace with no kicker as if it is the very nuts.
If he has the straight you are drawing to 3 outs (assuming he holds a 2). If he has 2 pair you are drawing to somewhere between 3-9 outs to counterfeit his kicker (depending on if it's a 3, 4 or 5). If he has some other ace you have him beat and he's drawing to 3 outs (This is the most likely IMO, though at this level it is very possible for SB to call a raise preflop with A2). Anything else and you have him beat (unless he called your preflop raise with 56s or something silly like that).
I'd raise, call a 3 bet and see what happens on the river.
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DrivingDog
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Full House
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: UK
Posts: 923
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I think we're probably behind here. It's hard to imagine SB betting out AT or AJ again after getting raised on the flop. He probably has two pair or a straight.
My gut is churning towards a puke-fold here but because the players are fishy I'm going to swallow and call down. If the action gets heavy on the turn or river my gut will probably win the argument.
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"You can fool some of the people all of the time, and those are the ones you want to concentrate on." (George Bush).
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bigspenda73
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Pwnsylvania
Posts: 7,545
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4.5-1 to call down, good enough for me
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