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Another "How many bets" problem

  
 
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Fnord
Old 12-26-2004, 11:10 PM     Post subject: Another "How many bets" problem #1 (permalink)  
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I used to be really aggro in these situations, but have been trying to find a balance...

Have only been at the table for an orbit, read is typical loose/passive.

Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Preflop: Fnord is UTG with K, A. MP3 posts a blind of $2.
Fnord raises, UTG+1 folds, MP1 folds, MP2 calls, MP3 (poster) calls, CO folds, Button folds, SB calls, BB calls.

Flop: (10 SB) K, 8, Q (5 players)
SB checks, BB bets, Fnord raises, MP2 folds, MP3 calls, SB 3-bets, BB calls, Fnord caps, MP3 calls, SB calls, BB calls.

Turn: (13 BB) A (4 players)
SB checks, BB bets, Fnord raises, MP3 calls, SB calls, BB 3-bets, Fnord calls, MP3 calls, SB calls.

River: (25 BB) 6 (4 players)
SB checks, BB bets, Fnord calls, MP3 folds, SB folds.

Final Pot: 27 BB
 
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ChezJ
Old 12-27-2004, 12:53 AM #2 (permalink)  
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I'm thinking K8 and KQ in the blinds, and praying one of them doesn't have a set.
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Nehmer
Old 12-27-2004, 01:06 AM #3 (permalink)  
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I think the Ace on the turn definately helped the BB out. I could easily see him having TJ or even also having AK. i don't see any reason for him to not cap the flop with a set, but to then come out and bet the turn. Even with the very real possibility of him having the straight, I think I would cap the turn, because I'd put you at about a 50/50 chance of winning the pot, but you are getting money from two opponents when you win. I don't think there is much chance at all that SB has you beat on the turn. If he(BB) comes out betting the river, I just call.
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steviebrutal
Old 12-27-2004, 01:41 AM #4 (permalink)  
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JT seems like such a remote possibility here, but a possibility nonetheless. Do you think the BB would wake up when the A hits the turn if he held Ax? Thatd be the first notion Id think of. I think the passive play on the river is definitely called for here.
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Nehmer
Old 12-27-2004, 01:56 AM #5 (permalink)  
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I don't think JT is a remote possiblity at all. BB played that hand almost exactly how I would have with something like JTs(not clubs, because I'd have capped the flop with that). I don't think there is much of any chance that he has Ax, because unless he is just a complete moron he would not have called the 3-bet on the flop with that hand and would have no reason to bet out with it either unless it is Ax of clubs.
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gabe
Old 12-27-2004, 02:11 AM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nehmer
I don't think JT is a remote possiblity at all. BB played that hand almost exactly how I would have with something like JTs(not clubs, because I'd have capped the flop with that). I don't think there is much of any chance that he has Ax, because unless he is just a complete moron he would not have called the 3-bet on the flop with that hand and would have no reason to bet out with it either unless it is Ax of clubs.
sure it could be AXs, probably AJs or ATs. He has so many outs he can afford to call those bets.
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elipsesjeff
Old 12-27-2004, 03:12 AM #7 (permalink)  
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I say Axs, KQ, or trip 8s. I like the way you played it though.


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steelwheel
Old 12-27-2004, 03:23 AM #8 (permalink)  
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KQ
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