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AJo: to aggress, or not to aggress?

  
 
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Hermann the Lombard
Old 12-28-2007, 07:17 PM     Post subject: AJo: to aggress, or not to aggress? #1 (permalink)  
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PokerStars 0.10/0.20 Hold'em (9 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A, J.
UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, 1 fold, MP3 calls, 1 fold, Hero calls, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: (7 SB) T, 2, A (7 players)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG checks, UTG+1 bets, MP1 folds, MP3 folds, Hero raises, SB folds, BB folds, UTG folds, UTG+1 calls.

Turn: (5.50 BB) 8 (2 players)
UTG+1 bets, Hero...

Villain is 67/4.7/1.48 over about 50 hands, 50 WTSD,41 W$SD. He seems to have a fondness for Broadway-rag combos like K6o from CO.

The table was running about 40% to the flop. On the flop I wanted to get any 1-card flush draws out of the pool (not that they should fold getting 5:1) and hopefully isolate my fishy friend. Now on the turn it doesn't seem like anything has changed. I think I'm ahead now so I raise, and I think I'm willing to fold to a 3-bet. Comments? (How about the PF limp?)
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Ragnar4
Old 12-28-2007, 11:38 PM #2 (permalink)  
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AJ limp isn't bad. Becaud it disguises your hand. And I would rather limp it from late, than I would ever limp it from early. Also don't limp AJO very often at all. 1 in ten times in this situation is about right.

I think the real question is: Does UTG+1 open limp with KXs. I know in a lot of sklansky books KXs is a viable hand with loose passive tables.

You could just hunker down and call with top pair good kicker 2 times. I don't see that as a problem here.

With the Villians stats, I'm pretty sure that I'm not folding, but I want out as cheaply as possible.
The older I get, the more I start wondering; Just what in the hell is going on here?
 
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euphoricism
Old 12-29-2007, 04:14 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Raise and its not even close.
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arborman
Old 12-29-2007, 11:42 PM #4 (permalink)  
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I'd raise-call the turn and see what comes on the river. If he 3-bets your raise then I'd hunker down and call the river. Your villain is dumb enough to donk tpnk again on the turn, which you have beat, but he might also have spiked his kicker or hit 2 middle pairs(I hate when that happens).

FWIW I tend to limp AJo preflop if there are more than 3 limpers ahead of me and I am in late position. The pot is already big enough for the BB to call a raise, nobody will fold for one more small bet, and the equity of AJo is not really strong enough to justify a raise. OTOH a raise might buy you a free turn card if you whiff the flop and they all check to you (unlikely with 5 people ahead of you), so of course it is table dependent somewhat. With that many players on a relatively loose table most of them are likely to call one bet for the turn, so if you do hit the flop it can be fairly profitable.
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