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Hermann the Lombard
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10-05-2007, 05:16 AM
Post subject: 33 BT & Gutshot
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#1 (permalink)
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Flush
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 270
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PokerStars 0.05/0.10 Hold'em (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
Preflop: Hero is Button with 3 , 3 . UTG+1 posts a blind of $0.05.
UTG raises, UTG+1 (poster) calls, 1 fold, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, 1 fold, Hero calls, SB calls, 1 fold.
Flop: (13 SB) 2 , 6, 4 (6 players)
SB checks, UTG bets, UTG+1 folds, MP2 folds, MP3 calls, Hero...
My thoughts in white:
Here are my thoughts about it: I have the tiny pocket pair, the bottom end of a gutshot, and a very weak BDFD. I suspect that if the straight comes in I'll win unless a flush comes in. I'll estimate 4 outs for the fives, 2 outs for treys, and 1 out for the BDFD. 40:7 is about 5.5:1 and the pot is offering 15:1 . . . that almost sounds like a raise for value but my pot equity seems to be < 30% and I'll probably be putting in 33%, so that sounds like a call.
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KoRnholio
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 2,165
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Call is good. There's only the SB left to act after you, so the chance of getting raised is pretty small.
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Some days it feels like I've been standing forever, waiting for the bank teller to return so I can cash in all these Sklansky Bucks.
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bigspenda73
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Pwnsylvania
Posts: 7,545
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raise is fun and a play no one ever thinks of....
don't count the BDFD as an out plz. You prolly have 3 outs here, maybe 4 discocunted outs, with more equity you could raise, but I think calling is perfectly fine.
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