|
dioufy77
|
12-04-2006, 06:21 PM
Post subject: 25/50 Limit Holdem. How much can i win?
|
#1 (permalink)
|
|
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Dublin, Ireland
Posts: 31
|
|
I am a No Limit Holdem side game player. I have played and won as high as 1/2 dollar in No Limit. I am very interested in learning how to play limit holdem and want to start at the bottom stakes. I was wondering how much money can i make on a good day at 25/50 cent limit holdem if i play correctly ( a day would be 8 hours play)
|
|
|
Play for FREE and practice your game at...
Join the FTR Poker Forum to disable these banners and start posting!
|
|
Rondavu
|
|
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 3,053
|
|
Yikes. Be more specific.
|
|
It's not what's inside that counts. Have you seen what's inside?
Internal organs. And they're getting uglier by the minute.
|
|
elipsesjeff
|
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Northern Virginia
Posts: 4,900
|
|
2 bb/100 would be a very very good win rate. Shoot, even beating the game for 1 bb/100 aint too shabby anymore.
Figure it out yourself, based on hands per hour, tables played, and win rate.
FR: 60 hands/hour/table
SH: 90 hands/hour/table
so:
8 hours*number of tables*hands per hour*winrate = profit.
|
Check out my videos at Grinderschool.com
More Full Ring NLHE Cash videos than ANY other poker training site. Training starts at $10/month.
|
|
bigspenda73
|
|
Straight Flush
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Pwnsylvania
Posts: 7,545
|
|
1-2bb/100? You could win at least 5bb/100 once you become more skilled. Table selection is not a big thing, but if you find a huge donkey sit to their left and you can win a ton of BBs. If you can 3-4 table for 8 hours at 6max. You could win this much at 5bb/100
80/hr*3 tables=240 hands/hr*8hr= 1920 hands
1920 hands*5/bb 100=96BBs=$48
or approx $6/hr
|
|
|
|
euphoricism
|
|
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Your place or my place
Posts: 3,610
|
|
Absolutely not spenda, but we've debated that point for years and I don't want to do it again.
I'll say this, if youre doing 5bb/100 over a significant sample size, please, please, please write a book and teach us.
Point being, OP, do not expect to do anything better than 2bb/100 long term. If you do better over a significant sample size, thats very nice, and you should write a book too.
|
|
|
|
bigspenda73
|
|
Straight Flush
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Pwnsylvania
Posts: 7,545
|
|
I am not saying at every level but at .25/.50 6max you can certainly run 5BB/100. At Titan earlier in the year I ran 6BB/100 over 8k hands. That's with not knowing much about the 6max games. Currently I am upset if a 1k session ends up running less than 4BB/100. The play is so horrible at this level players just donate money to you. Not at 1/2 and up Im sure that obtaining even 2BB/100 is difficult.
I'd write a book on .25/.50
It would have 3 lines
"3bet light"
"Value bet everything"
"Never miss a bet"
|
|
|
|
euphoricism
|
|
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Your place or my place
Posts: 3,610
|
|
8k hands is nothing. Nada. Zilch. Post your results at 80k.
|
|
|
|
bigspenda73
|
|
Straight Flush
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Pwnsylvania
Posts: 7,545
|
|
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by euphoricism
8k hands is nothing. Nada. Zilch. Post your results at 80k.
|
I will be up a few more levels after 80k hands 
I know you don't want to believe me cuz I've read all of the LHE posts from the past saying exactly what you're saying, but the level of play is just so bad. It's pretty practical to believe that you could outplay every opponent at your table for 1BB/100 hands. A good solid player has a huge edge at this level.
|
|
|
|
elipsesjeff
|
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Northern Virginia
Posts: 4,900
|
|
Quote:
|
but at .25/.50 6max you can certainly run 5BB/100.
|
It is technically impossible. The highest I've ever seen anyone run in a skilled game over a long period of time was Fnord, who ran like 3.8 bb/100 over a couple months when he was full-time pro. I will never, never, never, NEVER believe anyone will win more than 4 bb/100, and even a year ago (with softer games) that is probably the .01% of the population.
Euph is right, 8k hands is nothing at all. But by god if you play 80k hands at .25/.5 and have anything above 3 bb/100, you should have moved up 70k hands ago.
|
Check out my videos at Grinderschool.com
More Full Ring NLHE Cash videos than ANY other poker training site. Training starts at $10/month.
|
|
euphoricism
|
|
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Your place or my place
Posts: 3,610
|
|
Well, the math says SOMEBODY will run 4bb/100 or better, but it also says it is very very very unlikely that it will be you. :]
|
|
|
|
bigspenda73
|
|
Straight Flush
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Pwnsylvania
Posts: 7,545
|
|
Hmm... smells like a challenge.
You know, if I had the time or will to play 50K hands at .25/.50 6max I would do it to prove 4BB/100 is attainable. Not trying to start another one of these dumb arguments, but nothing is impossible, even "technically". And for that matter, explain why you sait it is technically impossible, you realize the most rake I've ever seen on one of my hands has been .05.
|
|
|
|
elipsesjeff
|
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Northern Virginia
Posts: 4,900
|
|
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
Hmm... smells like a challenge.
You know, if I had the time or will to play 50K hands at .25/.50 6max I would do it to prove 4BB/100 is attainable. Not trying to start another one of these dumb arguments, but nothing is impossible, even "technically". And for that matter, explain why you sait it is technically impossible, you realize the most rake I've ever seen on one of my hands has been .05.
|
go for it! You can be the king of .25/.5. Single table it and 50,000 hands later when you realize what a big waste of time it was you'll probably quit poker.
|
Check out my videos at Grinderschool.com
More Full Ring NLHE Cash videos than ANY other poker training site. Training starts at $10/month.
|
|
arkitekton
|
|
Flush
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: canada
Posts: 269
|
|
The idea that a solid player couldn't take down 5bb per 100 at something like the goddawful .10/.20 games at Party is patently absurd. If a terrific player can knock off 3.8bb/100 at reasonable stakes against reasonable players, how can 5bb against terrible players at microstakes be impossible? The answer, of course, is that it's perfectly possible. If you couldn't take down 5/100 at .10/.20 I'd advise you to take up another game.
That said, it's also possible to spend an ungodly amount of time losing to truly horrible players. I'm a good, solid, occasionally inspired player--my instincts are fairly sharp, I can do the math at the table, and so on, yet I just finished up about three months (30,000 hands) of just about break even limit poker. I don't chase, and I know how to get out of a hand, but over that time I lost money on two pair hands, broke even on straights and flushes. I played a 1,000 hand session to the immediate left of a guy with a VPIP around 90, and he took a small fortune off me, just to give you an example. I have no idea how long the long run is, but it's damnably long--maybe longer than I'll have patience for. So listen to the guys who tell you to report back after 80,000 hands. They're not being smartasses, it's just that that's about the neighborhood you'll need to be in to get credible, representative results. This from someone who, were I condemned to play at .25/.50 6max for the rest of my life, would consider 5bb/100 indicative of failing brain cells.
|
|
|
|
euphoricism
|
|
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Your place or my place
Posts: 3,610
|
|
Dead horse.
I'll say, if you want to place some money on your 5bb/100 claim over a decent sample size at .10/.20, I'll give you 2:1 on it.
|
|
|
|
bigspenda73
|
|
Straight Flush
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Pwnsylvania
Posts: 7,545
|
|
I say you could run at least 8BB/100 at .10/.20 full ring
And stop making the challenges you know no one in their right mind would accept.
|
|
|
|
elipsesjeff
|
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Northern Virginia
Posts: 4,900
|
|
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
I say you could run at least 8BB/100 at .10/.20 full ring
And stop making the challenges you know no one in their right mind would accept.
|
Thats because they know its impossible!
Hah, i'll give you 5-1 if you pull 8 bb/100 over a 30k hand stretch.
|
Check out my videos at Grinderschool.com
More Full Ring NLHE Cash videos than ANY other poker training site. Training starts at $10/month.
|
|
arkitekton
|
|
Flush
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: canada
Posts: 269
|
|
Man, that's a tempting wager, particularly having just for fun run 27.82 bb/100 over a miniscule sample of 371 hands while four tabling...
So, 30,000 hands. I get 2:1 if I better 5bb/100, and 5:1 if I crack 8bb/100. I'd want to put up around $700 or so. Two things--how would I demonstrate to your satisfaction that I had successfully completed the challenge, and how can I be certain that I wouldn't be interfered with by ringers popping into my tables to, in effect, play a hell of a lot better than the opponents I'm counting on?
|
|
|
|
bigspenda73
|
|
Straight Flush
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Pwnsylvania
Posts: 7,545
|
|
See what these pros fail to realize is how bad the play is probably b/c they never even played these levels. If you cannot exploit 1BB from each player every 100 hands you shouldn't be playing poker.
|
|
|
|
euphoricism
|
|
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Your place or my place
Posts: 3,610
|
|
I didnt set a hand goal, I just said "decent sample size" so at 2:1, $700, your wager is accepted if you agree to play 35k hands by eh, Feb 10th (two monthsish from today should be plenty of time)
You can prove it by sending me by sending the last 35k hands played at .10/.20 in your PT database to where I can import them and view them in my PT. Then its a simple matter for me to check dates and run some stat filters to check validity.
Your ringers concern is mildly foolish, but the best I can say is, "it wont be me, because its not worth my time.".
Deal?
|
|
|
|
euphoricism
|
|
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Your place or my place
Posts: 3,610
|
|
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
See what these pros fail to realize is how bad the play is probably b/c they never even played these levels. If you cannot exploit 1BB from each player every 100 hands you shouldn't be playing poker.
|
Thats rediculous. Why do you pretend to know what stakes I have played? II started playing online below .10/.20 LHE.
|
|
|
|
euphoricism
|
|
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Your place or my place
Posts: 3,610
|
|
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by euphoricism
I didnt set a hand goal, I just said "decent sample size" so at 2:1, $700, your wager is accepted if you agree to play 35k hands by eh, Feb 10th (two monthsish from today should be plenty of time)
You can prove it by sending me by sending the last 35k hands played at .10/.20 in your PT database to where I can import them and view them in my PT. Then its a simple matter for me to check dates and run some stat filters to check validity.
Your ringers concern is mildly foolish, but the best I can say is, "it wont be me, because its not worth my time.".
Deal?
|
Eh, misread. Make it 30k hands rather than 35k. Negligible difference.
|
|
|
|
bigspenda73
|
|
Straight Flush
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Pwnsylvania
Posts: 7,545
|
|
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by euphoricism
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
See what these pros fail to realize is how bad the play is probably b/c they never even played these levels. If you cannot exploit 1BB from each player every 100 hands you shouldn't be playing poker.
|
Thats rediculous. Why do you pretend to know what stakes I have played? II started playing online below .10/.20 LHE.
|
And what did you run there?
|
|
|
|
euphoricism
|
|
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Your place or my place
Posts: 3,610
|
|
I didnt have PT at the time.
|
|
|
|
elipsesjeff
|
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Northern Virginia
Posts: 4,900
|
|
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
See what these pros fail to realize is how bad the play is probably b/c they never even played these levels. If you cannot exploit 1BB from each player every 100 hands you shouldn't be playing poker.
|
I started LHE full ring at .25/.50 and ran about 3 bb/100 playing sklanksy style poker for probably 10,000 hands or so. I've never seen a 6max winrate higher than 3 bb/100; and thats against the biggest idiots ever at 3/6 6max.
And, I'll wager 5:1 you can't pull 8 pt bb/100 over that stretch of 35,000 for $700. And, it's not really worth my time either to be a ringer in that game, although that would be pretty amusing!
|
Check out my videos at Grinderschool.com
More Full Ring NLHE Cash videos than ANY other poker training site. Training starts at $10/month.
|
|
Fnord
|
|
Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
Posts: 19,333
|
|
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by elipsesjeff
The highest I've ever seen anyone run in a skilled game over a long period of time was Fnord, who ran like 3.8 bb/100 over a couple months when he was full-time pro.
|
Here is the play that made me a lot of money, over and over again.
Some terrible player would limp, then I would raise something like J9s from the BN, CO or whatever. Then all of the tight guys farming 4+ tables behind me would fold and more often than not I'd get the terrible players heads-up, with position and dead money in the pot.
Higher stakes players won't let you get away with that crap. It's purely a middleish stakes play. Live players are so bored that they will make loose gambles eating into your profit. When 6-max caught on, the over-all table texture was too loose and aggressive for this to be anywhere near as profitable.
|
|
|
|
elipsesjeff
|
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Northern Virginia
Posts: 4,900
|
|
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by Fnord
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by elipsesjeff
The highest I've ever seen anyone run in a skilled game over a long period of time was Fnord, who ran like 3.8 bb/100 over a couple months when he was full-time pro.
|
Here is the play that made me a lot of money, over and over again.
Some terrible player would limp, then I would raise something like J9s from the BN, CO or whatever. Then all of the tight guys farming 4+ tables behind me would fold and more often than not I'd get the terrible players heads-up, with position and dead money in the pot.
Higher stakes players won't let you get away with that crap. It's purely a middleish stakes play. Live players are so bored that they will make loose gambles eating into your profit. When 6-max caught on, the over-all table texture was too loose and aggressive for this to be anywhere near as profitable.
|
That's what I did at 15/30 a long long time ago. You're right, doesn't work so much anymore.
|
Check out my videos at Grinderschool.com
More Full Ring NLHE Cash videos than ANY other poker training site. Training starts at $10/month.
|
|
arkitekton
|
|
Flush
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: canada
Posts: 269
|
|
Quote:
I didnt set a hand goal, I just said "decent sample size" so at 2:1, $700, your wager is accepted if you agree to play 35k hands by eh, Feb 10th (two monthsish from today should be plenty of time)
You can prove it by sending me by sending the last 35k hands played at .10/.20 in your PT database to where I can import them and view them in my PT. Then its a simple matter for me to check dates and run some stat filters to check validity.
Your ringers concern is mildly foolish, but the best I can say is, "it wont be me, because its not worth my time.".
Deal?
|
Rofl--do I seem like I'm on medication?
You dismiss my concerns as "mildly foolish," as though, who would possibly bother to take the trouble to spend a couple of afternoons as a ringer, there's only a swing of a few thousand dollars involved, then announce you'll be happy to act as sole arbiter of who wins the wager. Very nice setup. For you.
We'll need someone to hold the money, perhaps a creditable sports book, then someone(s) to review my stats and award the money. I'd prefer a panel of three, and I think since you have some associations here, it's better if they're not affiliated with flopturnriver.com. As much as I like the people who run this house, prudence suggests we aim for perfectly neutral referees.
So, it's 2:1 if I exceed 5.00bb/100, and 5:1 if I exceed 8.00bb/100? It's the latter that makes the risk particularly worth taking.
30,000 hands, .10/.20, before February 10th sounds fair.
|
|
|
|
Nehmer
|
|
Full House
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Decatur, IL
Posts: 666
|
|
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by arkitekton
Quote:
I didnt set a hand goal, I just said "decent sample size" so at 2:1, $700, your wager is accepted if you agree to play 35k hands by eh, Feb 10th (two monthsish from today should be plenty of time)
You can prove it by sending me by sending the last 35k hands played at .10/.20 in your PT database to where I can import them and view them in my PT. Then its a simple matter for me to check dates and run some stat filters to check validity.
Your ringers concern is mildly foolish, but the best I can say is, "it wont be me, because its not worth my time.".
Deal?
|
Rofl--do I seem like I'm on medication?
You dismiss my concerns as "mildly foolish," as though, who would possibly bother to take the trouble to spend a couple of afternoons as a ringer, there's only a swing of a few thousand dollars involved, then announce you'll be happy to act as sole arbiter of who wins the wager. Very nice setup. For you.
We'll need someone to hold the money, perhaps a creditable sports book, then someone(s) to review my stats and award the money. I'd prefer a panel of three, and I think since you have some associations here, it's better if they're not affiliated with flopturnriver.com. As much as I like the people who run this house, prudence suggests we aim for perfectly neutral referees.
So, it's 2:1 if I exceed 5.00bb/100, and 5:1 if I exceed 8.00bb/100? It's the latter that makes the risk particularly worth taking.
30,000 hands, .10/.20, before February 10th sounds fair.
|
I would just like to point out that if you guys are serious about this bet, you would need somebody to observe every hand played, because otherwise, whoever was playing could just delete a few of their worst sessions out of PT. Since that is obviously not going to happen, there is really no point in talking about this unless somebody happens to already have a huge sample at somewhere at or close to 5 bb/100. Even then, who cares? Even if it is possible to beat the game for that much, it's a worthless fact, because you can make more money beating 5/10 for even .75 bb/100 which anybody who could beat the small stakes for 5 bb/100 would probably be able to do.
|
|
|
|
arkitekton
|
|
Flush
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: canada
Posts: 269
|
|
btw, Nehmer, you've misquoted me. I didn't write the first half of the quotation you ascribe to me. Jeff wrote it. No harm done, I'm sure.
Nehmer wrote:
Quote:
|
I would just like to point out that if you guys are serious about this bet, you would need somebody to observe every hand played, because otherwise, whoever was playing could just delete a few of their worst sessions out of PT. Since that is obviously not going to happen, there is really no point in talking about this unless somebody happens to already have a huge sample at somewhere at or close to 5 bb/100. Even then, who cares? Even if it is possible to beat the game for that much, it's a worthless fact, because you can make more money beating 5/10 for even .75 bb/100 which anybody who could beat the small stakes for 5 bb/100 would probably be able to do.
|
Hell, don't you know a good pissing contest when you see one?
You're right about how unobserved, bad sessions could be deleted entire from PokerTracker. I hadn't thought of that, by the way. Someone else mentioned that an unscrupulous player could also have someone sit at their table, perhaps at their immediate left, and play normally until that occasion where all folded to the unscrupulous player in the small blind. He and his "partner" could then cap each street but the river, where the "reverse ringer," if you will, after getting 3-bet, simply folds. Would certainly do something for ones win rate.
Your point about the pointlessness of this is well taken. If not for the side bet dwarfing the actual money to be made, it would be a thoroughgoing waste of time. On the other hand, I am genuinely curious about the theoretical and practical maximum win rates, cards being average, against players of various strengths. It's just interesting.
|
|
|
|
euphoricism
|
|
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Your place or my place
Posts: 3,610
|
|
You dont understand ark, we don't care about what winrate you pull off. Its purely a "put up or shut up" thing. We're both sick of hearing "Im totally awesome, I can totally pull of 9bb/100 at .10/.20" and shit. We've heard it, heard it, heard it, and no ones been able to prove it.
I'm aware of NO ONE who has beaten 4bb/100 over a significant sample size at ANY stake.
I'm done with this, I'm locking it because its fucking retarded, and for good measure, if anyone ever pretends to be able to exceed 4bb/100 on any stake in this forum, without proof to back it up, I'll tell them the 'standard' view on it, and if it continues past that I'll just lock the thread or delete the offending post. Consider it a new forum rule. It simply creates fights with no possible resolution.
|
|
|
|
elipsesjeff
|
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Northern Virginia
Posts: 4,900
|
|
Sounds like a good idea to me!
|
Check out my videos at Grinderschool.com
More Full Ring NLHE Cash videos than ANY other poker training site. Training starts at $10/month.
|