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$100PLO Bluff Bet-size

  
 
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bigspenda73
Old 12-23-2007, 03:02 AM     Post subject: $100PLO Bluff Bet-size #1 (permalink)  
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I have $125 and villain covers. He's stacked me once with top-set when I had top 2 and an overpair on a drawy-board. My image, for once, is solid. I haven't even value-bet thinly yet. Villain (BB) is tight-passive and I'm sure a winner because being nitty pays in this game.

There are actually many questions really but the river bet size is what I'm wondering, but as always, any comments appreciated.

5 handed

Hero UTG:

Hero raises to $3, BTN calls, SB calls, BB calls

Flop (pot: $12): :Td:
SB checks, BB bets $12, Hero calls (meh right), BTN folds, SB folds

Turn (pot: $36):
BB bets $36, Hero calls (meh meh right)

River (pot: $108):
BB checks, Hero....

Those who say check-back I want to know what you think he shows us.
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swiggidy
Old 12-23-2007, 03:46 PM #2 (permalink)  
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The stacks pretty much suck. I would expect to see 9J, maybe even 9JQ.

With more behind I would like a 1/2PSB, especially if that's what you would bet for value (if it's been shown down). I would probably make it $75 without a great reason. With confidence in this nitty read I make it $100 and expect him to snap fold.
(\__/)
(='.'=)
(")_(")
 
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bigspenda73
Old 12-23-2007, 03:52 PM #3 (permalink)  
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The more I think about it the turn is either a shove or fold, most-likely a fold.

Swiggs I usually pot the rivers for value so I guess I would just shove here normally with TT.
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salsa4ever
Old 12-24-2007, 01:39 AM #4 (permalink)  
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the don't know that. I would certainl fold the turn here. with 2 diamonds I am reluctant to Bluff at the pot. I think villain has 9J a lot here, and will often call u cos of stack sizes and te possile flush draw.

he could also have flush draw in which case ur hand is good. no real need to turn into a Bluff.

if he sneakil checked a full house checking also saves u $$.
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Would you bone your cousins? Salsa would.
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well courtie, since we're both clear, would you accept an invitation for some unprotected sex?
 
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bigspenda73
Old 12-24-2007, 03:02 AM #5 (permalink)  
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BUT I COULD GET HIM TO FOLD A SPLIT OR J9 RIGHT?
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swiggidy
Old 12-24-2007, 03:08 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
Swiggs I usually pot the rivers for value so I guess I would just shove here normally with TT.
This can't be good against a nitty player, unless we're not merging bluffing and value lines at all.
(\__/)
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(")_(")
 
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bigspenda73
Old 12-24-2007, 05:12 PM #7 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by swiggidy
Quote:
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
Swiggs I usually pot the rivers for value so I guess I would just shove here normally with TT.
This can't be good against a nitty player, unless we're not merging bluffing and value lines at all.
oh i can merge with the best of them baby
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salsa4ever
Old 12-25-2007, 01:18 AM #8 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
BUT I COULD GET HIM TO FOLD A SPLIT OR J9 RIGHT?
split perhaps.

that's really the only hand were you'd gain really. can't see him fold J9

results?
Quote:
Originally Posted by bigred
Would you bone your cousins? Salsa would.
Quote:
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well courtie, since we're both clear, would you accept an invitation for some unprotected sex?
 
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bigspenda73
Old 12-25-2007, 02:00 AM #9 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by salsa4ever
Quote:
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
BUT I COULD GET HIM TO FOLD A SPLIT OR J9 RIGHT?
split perhaps.

that's really the only hand were you'd gain really. can't see him fold J9

results?
I timebanked, moved the slider back and forth like 50 times, convinced myself he couldn't fold J9 cuz I couldn't rep a boat then checked and he showed J9 like I knew he would.

He then said "whew" in chat....lol oh well.
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swiggidy
Old 12-25-2007, 02:42 AM #10 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
He then said "whew" in chat....lol oh well.
That could easily mean "thank you for not making me call a 50bb bet to catch your unlikely, but somewhat plausible bluff."
(\__/)
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bigspenda73
Old 12-25-2007, 05:00 AM #11 (permalink)  
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I felt hypocritical for not bluffing here swiggs
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salsa4ever
Old 12-26-2007, 02:00 AM #12 (permalink)  
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i think it was a good non-bluff
Quote:
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Would you bone your cousins? Salsa would.
Quote:
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well courtie, since we're both clear, would you accept an invitation for some unprotected sex?
 
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