Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
Posts: 19,333
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Some food for thought...
o We're only gettting a small window into Rippy's play. Without the entire picture it's hard to gauge how big of a mistake he's making and how often.
o Without a full history, it'd difficult to judge how successful he is. I'm pretty sold he's a winning player, but what's his win-rate compared to more ABC players in the long term? Once would expect these kind of plays to send variance through the roof, hence streaky results. But what's this doing to his win-rate, which is where it really matters?
o The payout structure in many of these tournies is such that consistant performance in the middle of the pack is not rewarded.
o There are a fair amount of situations where any 2 will do or can't be a big mistake. Many players just can't seem to pull the trigger in those situations.
o Rippy is boarder-line manical, but he's not predictably manical and can fold to an obvious trap. This makes him difficult to trap and light-years above some of the chimp manaics that play these.
o If he's setting up a situation where the other players don't feel they can profitably steal from him, he could be trading -EV in a hand or two for a little +EV over lots of subsequent hands.
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