4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: in ur accounts... confiscating ur funz
Posts: 2,452
|
|
If someone has a 20% range, he doesn't have 169*0.2 = 33 hands because he'll have something like 44+, all broadways, A7s+, 45s+, that's... 44 hands!
It just doesn't work. You cannot count a pair the same way you count any other combination because you are 2.6 times more likely to get an unpaired hand. Forget about differentiating between suited/offsuit hands.
You might go: Ok, but I'm not that anal... fine.
But then you go to the flop and the flop comes JJ3. Now you either go zomg! This mutha has liak 9/33*100 % trips - that's redonculous! 27%!
But fear not, he doesn't. Thanks to blockers he only has 15%.
It's a crutch that becomes a nuisance really fast. The only thing it's good for is to go DURRR HURRR I RAISE SEFEN HANDS FROM UTG CUZ RENTON TOLD ME SO.
Which is alright, but it will only take you so far.
|