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scfc_andy15
Old 03-26-2010, 10:10 AM #22 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 123
scfc_andy15
Another range exercise oh how fun these are
Villian is 20/14/0 over 142 hands isn't crazy or anything just seems to play his cards

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (7 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
UTG ($1.91)
MP1 ($1.98)
Hero (MP2) ($2.03)
CO ($2.01)
Button ($1.37)
SB ($0.68)
BB ($1.94)
Preflop: Hero is MP2 with K, A
UTG bets $0.06, 1 fold, Hero raises to $0.24, 4 folds, UTG calls $0.18
Flop: ($0.51) 7, 4, A (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $0.35, UTG calls $0.35
Turn: ($1.21) 4 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $0.55, UTG calls $0.55
River: ($2.31) J (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $0.89 (All-In), UTG calls $0.77 (All-In)
Total pot: $3.85 | Rake: $0.25

Ok he raisies pre-flop UTG to 3x so pre-flop I am putting his raising range as 77-AA, JTs+, QTs+, KTs+, K9s+, A8s+, QJo+, KJo+, ATo+ (I got this range by essentially putting 14% into pokerstove as that is his PFR and I assuming that he is positionally unware so I haven't varied it :/ Against this range I have 60.410% equity along with position post-flop and wanting to get HU I decided to 3 bet.
Then he calls my re-raise and I had taggy stats if he was paying attention, and he flat called which in my eyes rules out AA and KK, some people flat with QQ/AK here so I am leaving that in the range, which now consists of 77-QQ, KQs+, ATs+, KQo+, AJo+, which my hand has 58.077% equity against now.

The flop comes 7 4 A no suits, he checks to me with I think he is doing with his whole range. I fire a 2/3 pot bet which he calls, this call narrows his range to 77, JJ-QQ, ATs+, AJo+, as I think he will slowplay a set on this board often like most $2NL players. My equity has improved again to 75.882% which means I am crushing his calling range so I should bet.

The turn comes another 4, and I fire again quite small trying to induce a shove or a bad call so the river shove which I am going to make 100% of the time gives him great odds (probably a mistake.) He calls again I think the turn bet will have folded out JJ and QQ, he is probably just calling again with 77 as he turned a full house so I am leaving that in his range along with all the Aces previously. My equity is 75.882% meaning that this is an easy value bet.

The river comes a J and he checks I shove and he calls which I think he is doing with the entire of his range he had on the turn but my equity has decreased to 52% which means if he calling the shove with the entire of his range then it is still an +ev move.

Hope I've done that one ok
"Whether he likes it or not, a man's character is stripped bare at the poker table; if the other players read him better than he does, he has only himself to blame. Unless he is both able and prepared to see himself as others do, flaws and all, he will be a loser in cards, as in life."
 
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