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revolvingiris
Old 03-17-2010, 08:22 PM #13 (permalink)  
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revolvingiris
I was more or less responding directly to taipan's question.

As far as stop'n'go vs just shoving over. I dont really know which one would be better. Villain obv made an exploitable mistake so I would guess either option is fine.

When doing the math I ran into an issue on how to account for when villain folds pf. Example:

Assuming when villain hits on flop he never loses when he does AND doesnt already have a PP higher than 55.

A) Villain hits flop 33% of the time which means we take down the pot 66% of the time on the flop for a net of 19.4k (pot * 66%).

B) If villain folds pf then 20% * pot = 5800 for net.

Which is fine but we have to run ICM pf and then take B into account (which is where I got lost). I plugged this into SnGWiz which stated if villain will fold 20% then this is a shove pf but that doesn't mean its most optimal, certainly profitable though.

Note: We would also have to run ICM for stop'n'go but I dont really know how to do that either.
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