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kiwiMark
Old 02-27-2010, 12:13 AM #83 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Nu Zuland bru
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Had boog sweat me yesterday at 5NL which was really good, pointed out a couple of things that I'll add to my list of stuff to work on at 10NL- most notably better note-taking, and looking for good spots to iso from out of the blinds.

Today's hand review:


$0.02/$0.05 No Limit Holdem
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG BooG690 ($18.24)
UTG+1 4iro ($5.52)
CO PoseidonAA ($5)
BTN YRMN1B ($11.53)
SB Hero ($12.56)
BB Old2009 ($5)

Pre-Flop: ($0.07, 6 players) Hero is SB
3 folds, YRMN1B raises to $0.10, Hero raises to $0.40, 1 fold, YRMN1B calls $0.30

Flop: ($0.85, 2 players)
Hero bets $0.65, YRMN1B calls $0.65

Turn: ($2.15, 2 players)
Hero bets $1.85, YRMN1B calls $1.85

River: ($5.85, 2 players)
Hero bets $2.75, YRMN1B calls $2.75


Villain had a 48% ATS.

Preflop: I 3bet bluff, needing villain to fold 0.4/(0.57) = 70% of the time for it to be profitable. He's opening 48% of hands and I think continuing with something like {22+, AJs+, AQ, KQs} which is 8.9% of hands, meaning he folds 80% of the time.

Flop: However he calls preflop, but fortunately I flop gin, so I lead out for a cbet, expecting him to call with: {88, TT, JJ-QQ, KK, AA, AK, KQs} against which I've got 62% equity.

Turn: Turn is a bet, and I lead out again. I expect at this point he'll probably drop QQ, but might keep JJ since he turned a gutshot, so hsi range is {88, TT, JJ, KK, AA, AK, KQs} against which I've got 67% equity.

River: on the river the gutshot gets there, so I think he'll call a further value bet with {88, TT, KK, AA, JJ, AK} and probably KQs, but either way I have >60% equity making this a clear value bet.
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