Straight
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 205
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Originally Posted by jackvance
Quote:
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Originally Posted by shakesss
I think analyzing this hand without any stats on this guy is much harder. His 3b percentage? flop check raise as pfr? wtsd? These numbers would really make it much easier to come to a decision. If we are beat in this spot can we not chalk it up as a cooler? its a 3bet pot and we have top two and we have underrepped our hand strength.
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I don't see how it is relevant in this situation that we have underrepped our hand. Villain is instantly hammering pot-sized bets on turn and river so he already made his mind up on the flop how to play this hand, ie most likely KK/QQ. Other hands like AA/AK/AQ/72o I would expect him to bet the flop, or atleast take some time on turn and river.. |
So far in the hand, AK was flatted preflop and checked on a king high board, and then flatted with top two on the turn. Our plan might be to slow play our hand to extract value on later streets. In his mind it must be quite hard to put us on something that strong. The hands that would check the flop and call the turn in his mind are either monsters or hands that are unsure about where they are in the hand. If he thinks we have a big hand and he is shoveling chips in then he probably thinks he will get paid off. If he thinks we are unsure of our hand he might be betting a hand that is weaker than ours, AQ for example, for value, or he might be turning a weaker part of his range into a bluff. What i meant to say was that by underrepping the strength of our hand he might think he can get us to fold and play some of his range faster to get folds.
The tough part on putting this guy on a range is that we have no info about his 3betting stats. That would make the picture a lot clearer. If he is a nitty 3bettor than folding could be an option. If he is wider with his 3betting range its a call. In a vacuum with no reads i might just go and pay this off. The reason being that since we have underrepped our hand, he might think we are weak, and might try to get us off our hand.
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