Full House
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: constantly UTG
Posts: 723
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by !Luck
Villain is unknown
Preflop range is : AQs+,66+,AQo+ (24+54 = 78 combos)
My equity is 29.5%, I call because I am on the button.
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You need to elaborate on this, simply being on the button alone does not justify why you can call with this hand. Think how your hand plays against his preflop range when you are in position.
Quote:
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Originally Posted by !Luck
Flop: My equity against on the flop against his preflop range is now 42%, but he is likely c-beting most of his range, except 66-99, so that makes his range AQs+,AQo+, TT+ (24+3+24).
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If you think he's c-betting AQ then he most likely c-bets 66-99 as well.
Quote:
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Originally Posted by !Luck
The reason I raise instead of call is because I want to fold out better flush draws, which my raise should do plus if 66+ was c bet i drop out those hands and maybe jj and qq. Against the remaining range of TT,KK,AA I have 33% equity. So if he reraises all in I would need to call 17 into a pot of 31 or basically 33%.
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Better flush draws are not folding guaranteed, and you should not be eliminating them from his bet/calling or bet/raising range on this flop. Expecting him to fold JJ and QQ is overly optimistic as well.
The main reason you should raise here is b/c he will have a very hard time continuing unless he has either a big hand or a big draw, so your fold equity is relatively high in this spot. He also probably won't re-raise with his 10x hands, which gives you an opportunity to improve by the river.
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