Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 1,439
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Damn...it's been a long time. Almost a month. December was a bit busy. I had four exams, lost my job, found another job (which is rather labor-intensive), and have been doing the whole Holiday thing. Aside from that, I'm deciding to get a personal trainer. I meet with two of them this weekend and I'll choose one at that time. I'm pretty damn excited. Hopefully I can start next summer off right.
After losing my job, poker snapped right back into the main stage. I seriously need to start making money from it. I've been dominating 25NL and am probably ready to make the move on up. I'll be hanging out at 25NL until after the Holidays. We'll see how my third shot at 50NL goes.
I've been meaning to post up some hand histories. Sadly, I haven't. But then again, I just began to start playing poker again. I will focus on bluffing and try to analyze my bluffs. I don't find bluff analysis to be as clear cut as value-bet analysis...so I'm more than happy to do such things.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Replayer from Poker Hands Replayer
UTG ($8.75)
MP ($42.95) - 26/17 over 55 hands. Not many postflop stats/observations on him.
CO ($23.60)
Button ($67.90)
SB ($79.55)
Hero (BB) ($25)
Preflop: Hero is BB with A , K
1 fold, MP bets $0.75, 3 folds, Hero raises to $2.50, MP calls $1.75
With AKo OOP, I choose to three-bet. I like to take the initiative OOP rather than just calling. His call tells me he has something like {JJ-66, AQ+}.
Flop: ($5.10) 5 , 6, 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $2.50, MP calls $2.50
Board is a bit dry...there may be some straight draws out there, but not much more. Villain most likely has an overpair or just overcards. I choose to put out a cbet as a bluff (and also get some information). I assume villain is passive (just a basic assumption I make of most fish) and I would obviously fold to a raise on a board like this. I have about 25% equity against overpairs that may call. I will be looking to double-barrel here given any card that is a jack or higher (or perhaps even a ten).
Turn: ($10.10) J (2 players)
Hero bets $5, 1 fold
OK, so I hate my bet-sizing here. I'm pretty much repping a big pocket pair here...but I put out a little bitch bet. I should definitely have bet something along the lines of $7.50-$8. At the time, I was really thinking about the EV of making such a small bet. But seriously, I have to make my story believable. I think villain is folding {TT-77}. That is 24 hands that he will be folding. He will be continuing with {JJ, 66-55}. There is only nine hands that compose that range. Therefore, we estimate villain to be folding ~73% of the time. This tells me that I could have made a pot-size bet here that still would have been +EV. Sadly, I choose to get greedy with my EVs and make a little bitch bet that villain could have easily called with a flush draw he may have picked up. Moral of the story: make your bluffs believable.
Total pot: $10.10 | Rake: $0.45
Results:
Hero didn't show A, K (nothing).
Outcome: Hero won $9.65
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