Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 1,439
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I figured I'd post this up. I think I extracted value pretty well here. I'm not too sure about my flop check though...but whatever. I've been actually looking to do more analysis on the bluff-side of things...but haven't gotten any really good hands as of yet.
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Replayer from Poker Hands Replayer
SB ($25)
BB ($46.65)
UTG ($26.36)
Hero (MP) ($25.99)
CO ($16.16) - Villain is 37/11 with a 0% 3bet in 90 hands. He's more aggro than your standard passive fish...but still not very good.
Button ($26.93)
Preflop: Hero is MP with 9 , J
1 fold, Hero bets $1, CO calls $1, 3 folds
Flop: ($2.35) J , 5 , Q (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks
I hit my jack. However, the board is relatively dry. The only worse hands in his calling range that may call me are T9s and worse jacks (if any). I choose to check to try and manage the pot a bit.
Turn: ($2.35) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $1.50, CO calls $1.50
A diamond hits the turn. Villain may now have diamond draws that I can extract value from (that I kept in the hand with my flop check) so I bet. Villain's range is now {KQ,QT-Q9,Jx,99-66ish,flush draws}.
River: ($5.35) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $4, Hero calls $4
The flush misses. His calling range is going to, again, be mostly hands that beat me. His betting range, however, includes flush draws and perhaps lower pocket pairs that may try to pick the pot up here. I choose to check/call to extract value from these type of hands.
Total pot: $13.35 | Rake: $0.66
Results:
Hero had 9, J (two pair, Jacks and twos).
CO had 9, 10 (one pair, twos).
Outcome: Hero won $12.69
So I may have been able to get three streets of value here...but I think in the long run, my flop check may have been best. Then again, I don't know.
Hopefully some bluffing analysis to come!
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