Tilting Mod
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 4,814
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Wait, I think there is a misconception on what I said. I said getting it in on this flop vs that range. I never said shove, but I would raise a little more and get it in for sure if he shoves. I am not mad about a fold at all on the flop though since we would be taking down a 26BB pot w/9 high. Being aggressive here only stands to make it easier to be aggressive with flopped sets and straights and 2 pr hands and our air vs nittier players. If we aren't trying to get this in on the flop then what are we trying to get in?
We need to think about the opponents range here, and in all reality it's not just QQ+, AK. Even if it was an A could kill our action on that 52% EV if an A falls. He could fold AA if a spade falls. We have to be putting in as much as is reasonable against a weaker hand as well. IF opponent has AK what happens when an A falls on the turn if we just call the flop bet? Our equity falls to 26%, a K makes it 24%.
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