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spoonitnow

11-23-2009, 12:43 AM

#6 (permalink)

Straight Flush

Join Date: Sep 2005

Location: IRC Chat Room

Posts: 5,405

Quote:

Originally Posted by Donkafelts

Discounted 2/3 sets on flop cause they raise.
Hand 0: 85.455% 80.45% 05.00% 354 22.00 { QdQs, JcJh, TcTh, TcTs, ThTs, 9c9d, 9c9s, 9d9s, 8h8s, 7h7s }
Hand 1: 14.545% 09.55% 05.00% 42 22.00 { QcQh }

For break even (.85455)($2.50) = (.14545)(Final pot - $2.50)
Final pot = $17.19
Obv. fold against that range, we actually need to win more because sometimes we put more in when we hit a queen against a straight or w/e. I knew this was a fold if he only has range suggest in op. I need comments on accuracy of this range and our plan on different turns, not links plz. (no offense intended)

Quote:

Originally Posted by spoonitnow

www.pokerstove.com

It's hard to say how accurate a range will be for something so specific from someone we don't have a lot of information about, so one thing you can do now is to make his range in your analysis wider and wider until you reach a break even point, then decide if his real range would be wider than that or not.

This is useful in developing a feel for equities, etc., without having to be super accurate. At the tables, everything is going to be at least a little fuzzy as far as what we think someone's range is in a given spot or what we estimate our equity to be in some spot. For these reasons, it's not all that necessary to try to be super accurate, just kind of close. Most decisions will be so clear that we don't need to be super accurate anyway, and on the other hand the decisions that are so close they're difficult don't matter much because they are so close to begin with.

Good work btw. We do this sort of thing all the time in the #ftr IRC channel. You should check it out.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ripptyde

I only have 2 simple rules when I am coaching a new student.

Rule # 1: don't ask questions

Rule # 2: don't ask questions

I have no interest in discussing strategy with a protege'. Your job is to remain quiet and listen. I have a very systematic approach that I will share with the right candidate and I promise that I will turn you into a force of nature and show you elements of the game of poker that you never knew existed.