4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: I hope you make me eat my words 'cause my words is pussy, a-pussah-pussay!
Posts: 1,601
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PF bet sizing is exactly what i'd make it (1.30-1.40, slightly leaning toward 1.40 'cause of the open limper).
flop sizing is too small because the board is so F'ing wet. your sizing is standard for like AA on a K72r flop because 1) you're going to be betting that with your whole range, so you want to make it cheaper for your bluffs and 2) you're not in any rush to get stacks in with your value range. on this flop, you want stacks in by the turn. 2.20 would set up for a 6.60 shove into a 7.40 pot, which you wanna set up because the board is never going to be in your favor by the river.
i think the turn check is good 'cause we're not getting value from much (like AJ and draws that don't know how to play draws). his bet being so small, though, really makes me want to call and reval river if we don't hit a T or Q because it looks like a bet from a hand that was scared by the turn moreso than a bet from a hand that just hit the nuts. but there isn't much of his range that we still beat, so i think a fold is completely fine (and i doubt that the metagame involved in folding to a post oak bet on the turn doesn't matter much at 10nl).
this def isn't one of those "you can't call the turn only to fold to the river" type spots, though
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