Straight Flush
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: soaking up ethanol, moving on up
Posts: 5,804
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Deanglow
There are no jacks in his range, no kings, no AA, no 22-44, no 77-TT.
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Do you mean that his range excludes such holdings AFTER his river bet?
I'm interested in his turn calling range, which I think includes some jacks, some kings, some oesds, some AA/TT, etc. I don't think the list above can all be excluded before the river, which means that we're really looking at what he's doing with various range subsets on the river. e.g. for AA/KK wouldn't a good player sometimes flat top-of-range holdings pre-flop looking to induce a squeeze? and then flat flop and turn as played?
regardless, I think he bets his value range - broken into those that you beat = his perceived value range (KQ+?), and his true value hands (= everything that beats you), and his air on this river.
Downside of bet-folding is that you get no value from his air, and you're getting the value anyway from his perceived value range.
Anyway, I like the line and think you're easily good > 33%, but I don't see much value in a shove.
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