Flush
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Rotterdam, Holland
Posts: 437
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His likely range against your UTG open is probably pretty narrow from BB. With the lack of draws on this board and him calling twice, his most likely holdings are a Q imo.
If we bet small (say 90) he might raise, but he'd raise to something like 300 probably and we dont get stacks against a reg if we shove over since our range will be narrow.
If we bet like 200 we're still keeping our range wide and a raise from him would be a shove. So we get more when called and if he likes his hand it's for stacks for sure.
The overbet will likely not be called by the bottom of his calling range (like JJ for example?). I think it still gets calls, but wont get shoved over enough to be more profitable then a bet of 200
I think the best way to try and play for stacks is to just bet 200, but I dont know if it's the best/most profitable betsize in terms of how many times a betsize will get called.
So 200 > overbet > small bet imo
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