View Single Post
LawDude
Old 11-18-2009, 10:14 PM #6 (permalink)  
Full House

Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 940
LawDude
Quote:
Originally Posted by DoanDiggy
Since you don't specify, I'll assume the A is non-spade.

Hand 0: UTG
Hand 1: you
Hand 2: 2nd caller
Hand 3: CO raiser
Hand 4: Button 3bettor

In my estimation, Hands 0 and 2 and Hands 3 and 4 have similar ranges. I ran 7.5M Monte Carlo simulations:

Code:
Board: Ah 8s 2s
Dead:  

	equity 	win 	tie 	      pots won 	pots tied	
Hand 0: 	10.838%  	09.94% 	00.90% 	        763085 	    68762.33   { AQs-A9s, A7s-A3s, KsQs, KsJs, KsTs, Ks9s, K8s, Ks7s, Ks4s, Ks3s, Ks2s, QsJs, QsTs, Qs9s, Q8s, Qs7s, Qs4s, Qs3s, Qs2s, JsTs, Js9s, J8s, Js7s, Ts9s, T8s, Ts7s, 98s, 9s7s, 85s+, 7s4s, 53s+, 4s3s, ATo-A9o, A7o-A3o, K8o, Q8o, J8o, T8o, 98o, 87o }
Hand 1: 	09.849%  	09.84% 	00.01% 	        755519 	      414.83   { 6s5s }
Hand 2: 	10.811%  	09.91% 	00.90% 	        760813 	    68985.83   { AQs-A9s, A7s-A3s, KsQs, KsJs, KsTs, Ks9s, K8s, Ks7s, Ks4s, Ks3s, Ks2s, QsJs, QsTs, Qs9s, Q8s, Qs7s, Qs4s, Qs3s, Qs2s, JsTs, Js9s, J8s, Js7s, Ts9s, T8s, Ts7s, 98s, 9s7s, 85s+, 7s4s, 53s+, 4s3s, ATo-A9o, A7o-A3o, K8o, Q8o, J8o, T8o, 98o, 87o }
Hand 3: 	34.276%  	32.76% 	01.52% 	       2514198 	   116660.83   { 88, 22, AQs-AJs, AsTs, As9s, A8s, As7s, As4s, As3s, A2s, KsQs, KsJs, KsTs, Ks9s, Ks7s, Ks4s, Ks3s, QsJs, QsTs, Qs9s, Qs7s, Qs4s, Qs3s, JsTs, Js9s, Js7s, Ts9s, Ts7s, 9s7s, 7s4s, 4s3s, AQo-AJo, A8o, A2o }
Hand 4: 	34.225%  	32.71% 	01.52% 	       2510510 	   116447.17   { 88, 22, AQs-AJs, AsTs, As9s, A8s, As7s, As4s, As3s, A2s, KsQs, KsJs, KsTs, Ks9s, Ks7s, Ks4s, Ks3s, QsJs, QsTs, Qs9s, Qs7s, Qs4s, Qs3s, JsTs, Js9s, Js7s, Ts9s, Ts7s, 9s7s, 7s4s, 4s3s, AQo-AJo, A8o, A2o }
I would be very happy to hear where I'm making an error here in my ranges. Oh, and good luck with your excellent equity.
I haven't even begun to examine this seriously, but just glancing at it, your ranges are way off. Where's AK in the button's range? You seriously think that he's going to raise 22 pre-flop here?
Reply With Quote