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KoRnholio
Old 11-18-2009, 08:11 PM     Post subject: A good problem to have #1 (permalink)  
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4-of-a-Kind

Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 2,165
KoRnholio will become famous soon enough
MP1 is runing 26/11/4.0 over a small sample. BTN is kinda fishy, 37/7/0.7 40% W2SD, 50% W$@SD (145 hands).

MP1 very likely has a flush here, though a set is possible. BTN has a pretty wide range, could easily have like J8 (top pair*) here.

If I check, MP1 will bet here 100% of the time, BTN will call 80%+. MP1 may or may not 3bet my raise, probably not as the table has generally been loose, but passive.

If I bet out, MP1 is very likely to raise (with either a set or any flush), not sure if BTN will cold call 2, though the pot would now be 12BB.

(Paradise) $1.00/$2.00 Limit Hold'em - 10 players - View hand 375215
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

Pre Flop: (1.5 SB) Hero is UTG+1 with T A
1 fold, Hero calls, 1 fold, MP1 calls, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, 1 fold, BTN calls, SB calls, BB checks

Flop: (7 SB) 2 8 7 (7 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks, MP1 checks, MP2 checks, MP3 checks, BTN bets, SB raises, BB folds, Hero calls, MP1 3-bets, MP2 folds, MP3 folds, BTN calls, SB folds, Hero calls

Turn: (9 BB) 4 (3 players)
Hero... Leads-3bets or check-raises?
Some days it feels like I've been standing forever, waiting for the bank teller to return so I can cash in all these Sklansky Bucks.
 
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