4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: Confusing people with my liberal biblicisms
Posts: 1,625
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Hand 1: i can't see folding here at all. i know that stations GENERALLY play draws passively, but based on bet sizing and the fact that there are probably 100 hand combos of draws, even if he only plays his draws this way 1/10th of the time, it balances out set possibilities. this on top of the fact that he's going to incorrectly treat A9 and JJ-TT like the nuts, yet freak out 'cause he doesn't wanna see a river with those cards, on top of the fact that stations don't very often raise the stone cold nuts 4.5x's makes me feel like you're prolly even better than 50%.
Hand 2: i don't know if it's right or not, but i'd prolly talk myself into playing this hand just like you did. a flop fold just seems so sick because even nits are capable of bluff min raising a 552r flop these days. i'd call with the intention of folding if he continues on the turn knowing that nits aren't going to continue with a bluff. once he bets that embarrassing amount though.....? river is definitely a fold
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