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tiagor
Old 11-08-2009, 09:48 PM     Post subject: Positional Statistics analysis #3 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 9
tiagor
Cheers,

as I've just crossed the 10K hands barrier, although statisticaly not being a big sample, it seems as a good opportunity to evaluate some data about my play.
As I am a big proponent of the basics as a foundation of any great player, I am going to take a brief look at my Positional Statistics.
I must remark that I've also been adjusting my play throughout this 10K sample but I'd expect that shift in gears to even out thus not being overly significant (even on a small sample as this one). I'll also try to read the data without much prejudice and try to be as unbiased as I can.
I'd also be glad if someone more experienced than me can put me in my place if I come to any inadequate conclusions. Errare humanum est, so beat me if you have to.

Ok, the fact that I still don't have 10 posts on the forum is crap because I can't post images so, I'm only leaving the link to the stats. When I reach the 10th post I'll edit this posts to make it more readable.
I'll also only post some of the results from my analysis. I'm mostly puting my game in the open showing some of these results so I'd also like to believe (even if only to fool myself) that I'm keeping a little edge to myself. Also, most of you will probably just find this boring as hell so.. thats probably an even nicer reason to avoid flooding this post with more data.

Positional Statistics
img689.imageshack.us/img689/2264/postats.jpg (for now you need to copy&paste it to a browser to see the picture)

Good Stuff:

- VPIP is greatest on the button with 29.81%. This is a good thing as I am being positionaly aware relative to my hand range in other positions.
I am also profiting from that as can be seen from the "Amount Won" on the Button representing 32.3% of all the profit I've taken from all positions.

- VPIP is relatively low on the BB where I'm only marginaly a loser so I'm not staying too attached to the blinds and folding to pre-flop raises.
At the moment I don't think defending the blinds at this level (2NL) is advisable.

- I also ran a simulation to see if I was running positive in all pre-flop cold call to raises (from any position) and in fact I am.
From 2108 hands played on the BB, 207 were cold-called amounting to $11.25 in profit. This mostly means I'm not calling raised with all kind of crap.

Bad Stuff:

- What the hell am I doing with a VPIP of 47.64 on the SB? . Somehow I'm still running positive but I seriously need to tighten up here.
I was also surprised to observe that simulating the results I'd have got if I only played PPs, AK/AQ (any suit), the profit would rise from $8.61 to $25.10 BUT I'd have to discount 0.01 from approximately 1900 hands I'd have folded on the SB (which would amount to $19). Subtracting this would give ~+$6.10 which isn't very far from what I have at the moment. Either way, the sample is, as I have already mentioned, very small so I'll better keep an eye on this.

- My UTG stats are crap. Again, I'm being profitable by a very small margin and am playing 23.3% of the hands. Doing a similar thought experiment playing with the filters gives me the results I expected to see. Playing PPs and AK/AQ (any suit) would improve the profitability by 373% and tightening to 77+, AK/AQ by 396%. Clearly my game will have to change while playing OOP.

- I'm mostly making bad calls calling raises on the BB, amounting to -$11.10. Tightening up the range didn't seem to help, even calling only with only KK+. So, calling raises on the BB seems to be a big pooh pooh.

Ok, I'll stop here as this is post is already long enough and probably just plain boring to anyone but myself...

have fun at the tables
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