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Extremophile
Old 11-08-2009, 05:49 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Location: Stackton
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Extremophile
Thanks for the link and the OP itself spoon. So, I read the thread and gave it a try:

Our hand: Qc8s

Villian's range : 88, 66, K8, K6, Q8, Q6, 68.

Board: KsQh8d6d


88: 3 combos
66: 6 combos
K8: 12 combos
K6: 16 combos
Q8: 9 combos
Q6: 12 combos
86: 12 combos

Total of 70 combos. So, we beat 33 combos out of 70. I am not sure if we should include Q8 combos when calculating equity:

With Q8,

(9+12+12)/70= 0.47 ____our equity is 47%

0.47*81.9=38.49
0.53*15= 13.25

EV= 38.49-13.25=25.24

However, since the decision was made on turn, the EV of the turn call should be calculated imo. And, I don't know how to calculate the EV on the flop and the turn by combo method.

Edit: I have just realized that Q8 must be 4 combos instead of 9:

so,

with Q8 included (12+12+4)/65=0.43 meaning 43% equity
without Q8 (12+12)/61=0.39 meaning 39% equity
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