Full House
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 1,248
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Guy has 2 pair/sets/str8s very infrequently, way more likely he has q10, aj,kj,10j, 1010, 109 and flush draws, we can rule out some combos of f draws because he'd either raise the flop with them (combo draws) or he'd raise the turn once he made the str8, I could also see him jamming the turn with a10 hearts.
Since he's call happy and he'll probably view your river value range as fairly polarised if you bet strongly (if he even thinks this much) I'd just go ahead and bet $84, if he shoves cry/fold as he'd have to be mad to shove for another $40 or so. I think betting smaller i.e. 52ish leaves him the thought that he has f/e if he shoves which we don't want, plus he's less likely to call with worse because it looks like we're towning him.
I'm also not against bet/calling $28 or something.
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