Quote:
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Originally Posted by littleogre
Please remove 66/tt/22 from his range. Honestly i think your range is off because few 2nl players are gonna play a flopped set that way. I think we can also remove a set of queens. Very few people set hunt with QS.
We are coming to different conclusions because you are including hands in his range that frankly i am not including
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OK. Lets form another range then. Since you are the one who is playing against this particular villain, we have to form a range on your reads. But still, I insist that this is a contradiction to your OP where you said the guy is an unknown.
Yes he is unknown but against an unknown i assume they play like the typical 2nl player. i only have a little over 30 k hands at
ub 2nl. In those hands i have never seen a villain flop a set and check to the river. So i assumed that this one wasn't doing it either.
Busted FDs (I made a mistake in my previous post counting these since J9dd and 97dd are str8s now...)
Busted FDs (19 combos)
Pairs
Qxdd one pair hands (7 combos)
2 Pairs (Lets not include the ones he may have before the turn)
QT(9), Q8(9), Q2dd(1), T8(9), 86s(3) (31 combos)
Sets
only 88 as you said (3 combos)
Str8s
J9 (16 combos)
97 (12 combos)
There are 88 combos total... 19/88 = ~21.6 < 35 and this is the tightest range that i can come up with. You still need to drop 34 hands from his made hands for this call to be break even. In other words if you exclude all 2prs and sets from his range (34 combos) this call is still -EV (after rake)...
Actually you don't need to count anything while you play. This situation is soooooo obvious.