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Belt
Old 10-31-2009, 03:48 PM #10 (permalink)  
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3-of-a-Kind

Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Istanbul
Posts: 95
Belt
Quote:
Originally Posted by littleogre
. This is a pretty easy call. honestly surprised that so many of you say to fold. look at it this way villain is either betting a made hand or busted draw. with the exception of paired Qs what made hands is he betting?
Dude you are aware that you must have at least 35% equity to make this call break even, right?

Say he pushes with straights, sets, 2pair hands with Q, busted flush draws with Qd and unpaired busted flush draws. Lets count;

Str8s with 97 (12 combos)
Str8s with J9 (16 combos)
Sets (15 combos)
Two Pairs with Q (36 combos)
Busted flush draws width Qd (excluding 2pr ones) (7 combos)
Unpaired busted flush draws (21 combos)

He pushes total 107 combos. 21 / 107 = ~20%

Since 35 > 20, no need to be surprised when people say it is a fold.

By the way,
Quote:
Originally Posted by littleogre
The only AQ i fear is AdQd.
You are the one who is holding the Ad. So no need to be afraid of AdQd.