Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Nu Zuland bru
Posts: 939
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Firstly, thanks everyone for the responses and feedback thus far. It's great to know people are reading, and I'll try and have a proper go through all of your OPs, too, although with my first exam tomorrow it may take me a day or two. 
Today I tried play on three tables instead of two, meaning I got in 750 hands instead of 500. I definitely did notice a difference, but it was by all means manageable, so barring anything unpleasant in the next few days, three tables will probably remain my norm until after exams, when I'll reevaluate and consider adding a fourth.
So, today's HH analysis:
$0.10/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
5 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
Villain is 41/18 over like 17 hands
Stacks:
UTG vliegendhert ($27.05)
CO hahaxD ($31.50)
BTN leeuwdirdir ($19.05)
SB matglad ($12.50)
BB Hero ($25)
Pre-Flop: ($0.35, 5 players) Hero is BB  
3 folds, matglad calls $0.15, Hero raises to $1, matglad calls $0.75
Flop:    ($2, 2 players)
matglad checks, Hero bets $1.25, matglad calls $1.25
Turn:  ($4.50, 2 players)
matglad checks, Hero checks
River:  ($4.50, 2 players)
matglad bets $1, $1 to Hero ($22.75)?
Preflop: BvB I think he's calling with a lot of crap here. But he'd also be raising some of the higher end of that crap. I'm saying his range is: {A2-A9, K8-K9, Q8-Q9, J8-J9, T9, 54s-98s, 22-88}
Flop: He checks, I cbet as a semibluff, and I think his calling range is something like: {A2-A6, Ad7d-AdTd, Kd8d-Kd9d, Qd8d-Qd9d, Jd8d-Jd9d, 54s-87s, 22-88} (68+4+2+2+2+11+33 = 122combos)
That means he's calling 122/239 combos, or folding 49% of the time.
I just went to pokerstove to work out how much equity I had for my breakeven equation to see how much fold equity I would need for this to be plus EV, and apparently I have 56% equity against that calling range. ...So I guess I'm betting for value, here.
Turn: On the turn I drop down to having 35% equity, and I don't think that anything that called the flop is folding on this turn, so I have next to zero fold equity. So I check behind.
River: The river pairs the board again, and I miss my draw. Any busted diamond draws that might be bluffing here beat me anyway, so it's an easy fold
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