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taipan168
Old 10-23-2009, 04:29 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by acoss3006
Why is it an insta-shove pre-flop? Wouldnt a raise achieve the same outcome without putting our tourney on the line? Also, we have a hand that plays well post-flop if called. Couldnt we make more extracting post-flop?
It's an insta-shove preflop for a few reasons:
- There are 900 chips in the pot preflop which is 27% of our stack. Any time the chips in the pot preflop are 15%+ of our stack, consider shoving.
- Considering the stack sizes, we have really good fold equity so we have a great chance of taking those 900 chips without a fight.
- If we raise (say to 1000) and somebody calls, we only hit the flop 32% of the time, and then we'll have like 30% of our stack in the pot so check/folding would be terrible.

Quote:
Originally Posted by acoss3006
Agree its a shove post-flop. Even if we are conservative and assume the As and Ks are partial outs (say 3 in total), that gives us 12 outs and ~ 50% equity, yes?
That's right, but I'd say the As and Ks are more than half-outs in this case, I'd give them at least 5 outs even if they're not all clean.
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