Moderator
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Northern Virginia
Posts: 4,900
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Actually the stats tell us he just isn't a solid regular and calls a little too much preflop. I would expect solid regulars to raise the turn with draws but this guy seems to be a bit more stationy. Also whats his 3bet% preflop?
I'm not saying I like a turn bet either as I like the check. I would probably check the river though as I don't think you can get much value as I think his calling range is T+J a lot more than 7+ace high. Plus if you think about your own range I think you're more likely (possibly in his mind too) to just keep barrelling as a bluff instead of b/c/b line as taken here.
Finally, if you feel like he's going to raise the turn as a bluff I don't see why that would stop you from betting since you have a made hand. If that is the case then call him down.
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