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asdpikas
Old 10-08-2009, 06:14 PM     Post subject: Re: swings in limit & win-rate #6 (permalink)  
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asdpikas
Quote:
Originally Posted by scarface_0001

I had more than 2.5 BI swings in NL but because my opponents are weak (I play NL on 888)
This is untrue (regardless of where u play). You may have inevitable hands that u lose regardless of how your opponents play. Getting AA vs KK, mid set vs top set, flush vs nut flush....

These can create downswings as much as the random suckouts from bad play. Happened to me today

Quote:
Originally Posted by scarface_0001

Is there a program that shows me what the probability to have a downswing in 10K hands or in 100K hands is if I know my SD and WR?
I dont know. There must be.

Quote:
Originally Posted by scarface_0001
I couldn't believe it when I read on DC that downswings of +300BB are possible even for a winning player and that a 1BB/100 winner had downswings that lasted 100K hands.
I had a downswing of 350BBs at 6max that lasted 45k hands. It happens. I dont see how it seems so unlikely.
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