Full House
Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 940
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More seriously, Benny, you need to adjust your stove calculation to the villains' likely CALLING range, and then add to the pot equity any fold equity (i.e., both players folding) to get the actual equity in the pot.
You shouldn't assume that hands that miss this board (like As9s, for instance) are going to call flop raises here.
Also, even if a raise is equity justified, it can still be wrong if it drives people out of the pot who might be paying you off on later streets. You are getting pot odds and losing implied odds.
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