Quote:
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Originally Posted by LawDude
Here's another way to think about this. Suppose you raise your flush draw and get 2 callers. ON THAT BET, you are getting 2 to 1.
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Right, so all you need to make the raise profitable is more than 33% equity. Do we have that?
Code:
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
6,458,256 games 0.251 secs 25,730,103 games/sec
Board: Jd 6h 5d
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 46.859% 44.87% 01.99% 2897580 128711.33 { AdQd }
Hand 1: 26.570% 24.94% 01.63% 1610875 105107.33 { 88+, A9s+, KTs+, QTs+, AJo+, KQo }
Hand 2: 26.570% 24.94% 01.63% 1610875 105107.33 { 88+, A9s+, KTs+, QTs+, AJo+, KQo }
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47% > 33%. Raise flop...you have two opps unlikely to fold for a small bet so you're getting paid correctly.
When it comes to playing flush draws, generally, you're 33% to hit by the river with a flush draw. On non-scary boards, raising the flop is usually right. Add in the overs, the fact that the FD is to the nuts and the fact that you're in position and get to re-evaluate on the turn without it costing you money; raising is absolutely clear.
Read more about pot equity...against two opps, if you only put in a third of the money and stand to make more than a third, that's precisely where your profit comes from.