Full House
Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 940
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Originally Posted by BennyLaRue
Quote:
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Originally Posted by LawDude
But my equation was not intended to make people think precisely mathematically. Rather, it's more conceptual-- these raises cut your implied odds, so what you need to think about is whether you are getting the fold equity to make up for the loss in implied odds.
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That's really only one consideration. You really need to factor in the strength of your draw, position, opponent's ranges, free card plays etc.
Nut flush draw and overs...raise flop. |
Position is always a legitimate consideration (as is table image, which Chopper is concerned with but you didn't mention). But those are secondary considerations to the math-- are you getting better odds on your money to put more money into the pot or not to, and that gets back to implied odds and fold equity.
And obviously, opponents' ranges matter, but those are part of your fold equity and outs/implied odds calculations.
As for free card plays, I must say that I am much less enamored with them than many poker authors are. I do them occasionally when I have position and think I can improve by the river, and I am against a player or players who I am almost certain will check the turn, but I have found that more and more people are donking the turn against bettors/raisers on the flop, which make free card plays less effective. (By the way, this is far more true online than at casinos. In most live play, go ahead and make the raise for the free card every chance you can.)
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