Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 35
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Thanks, Jyms.
It's makes sense to me that the blue line should be above the red, but it's really counter intuitive to me that villains are staying in the hand until show down.
I'm not at home, so I can't pull a hand history, but here's a common scenario for me.
I'll be on the button with AJs (say, clubs). EP limps $.05 (he's borderline nit/tagg, running VP$P 20/ PFR 15) and I raise it up to 5x (.25). Blinds fold, EP calls. Pot is $.57 (villain's range is a lot of small pairs and sc's)
Flop comes 2dTsJs. EP checks, and I bet $.30. EP calls. Pot is $1.17. (a lot of sets would've bet here to protect their hands, so his range is a lot of straight and flush draws)
Turn is 3h. EP checks, and I bet $.70... villain thinks for awhile (or sometimes doesn't) and calls. Pot is $2.47.
River is 6h (blank). EP checks... Hero ???
I've tried betting .70-$1.10 for value. I've tried over-betting or shoving to 'fake' a busted flush. I've tried tried betting $.30-$.50 to entice a call. 9 times out of 10 villain is folding his busted draw. I suspect the problem is my bet sizing on the flop and turn, but if I bet more I'm just forcing draws out sooner (which is the side I tend to err on). If I bet less, I'm giving even better odds to chase their draws.
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