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I have no idea with these steaks, but at 100NL barreling an overcard is super standard because people fold too much
I imagine that tough regulars will keep calling despite the king on the board because it's such a good card to barrel... but then again, if he expects you to call with a wide range because of the scare card then he's strong... it's a kind of scare card leveling game
I think you can put AA into his range on the river
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