4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 2,875
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Originally Posted by daven
i haven't sent the bet-sizing math over cos i got sidetracked yesterday by this, another question, a good book, climbing, cooking, and actually playing poker. Today perhaps?
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Seems like you're enjoying life, which is much more important most days than working on pokerz. :P
I was enjoying life by tackling the BEAST 5 MILER this morning and thinking about poker lots during the early parts of the run. The latter parts were more focused on my last will and testament and trying to recall if my various insurance policies were paid up.
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Originally Posted by daven
...the real value of Q... implications for c-betting vs checking behind are interesting, and from there the assumption of average contested pot size in squeeze pots - but, like you said, Q doesn't vary with P that much.
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One thing I remembered learning while doing the maths is that SMALLER postflop pot sizes actually makes the squeeze MORE profitable. It limits the potential all-in downside. Short-stack squeezers need to be jammed on frequently if we think they're doing it light. On the other hand, Daven, as you point out, it makes the squeeze that much more profitable for the shorties.
The place where we have to be careful is when we squeeze and both our stack and the PFR's are 150 BB or more deep. We can still squeeze light, but we're going to have to be very careful not to jam our way into what rock climbers call the "coffin zone," the place where we're committed to a big pot (or potentially nasty fall) with no value (or protection).
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Originally Posted by daven
posting it in the BC will get a bunch of them moving back down to 5nl in no time flat
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This has made me lol at least 3 times this morning.
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Speaking of BEAST 5 MILERS, I'll take you up on the fitness prop bet deal. I'll post something in our old thread from last Spring later today. I wanted to tackle the BEAST for a second time in 5 days to see how my body would hold up. I've been adding some lifting and cardio at the gym 3 days a week to 3 hard running days, but I'm trying to focus on arms, chest and back at the gym to save the legs for distance.
The upshot is that I think after today's run I have a decent measure of my current fitness levels, so I can pose a challenge that will challenge both my character and courage while I'm completing it. I've got an idea for a short bet on a strong finish to August building to a more substantial bet on September's fitness. As I said, I will post later today.
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