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daven
Old 08-20-2009, 07:33 AM #455 (permalink)  
Straight Flush

Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: soaking up ethanol, terrorising the micros
Posts: 5,502
daven will become famous soon enough
i haven't sent the bet-sizing math over cos i got sidetracked yesterday by this, another question, a good book, climbing, cooking, and actually playing poker. Today perhaps?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Robb
I can take this down 40% or more of the times with A4s and position - I've got blockers and he's pretty weak-tight in big pots, playing lots of fit-or-fold.
the guts of this post, nice.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Robb
I used to play as though I had to win 80% of the contested pots,
Mathematically, if I've done my preflop analysis right, I only have to win ~40% (worst case) when I'm flat called. That allows me to get away from bad squeezes cheap knowing I can pick up my 40% when I connect with flops and when the pot is obviously orphaned.
key - and the real value of Q... implications for c-betting vs checking behind are interesting, and from there the assumption of average contested pot size in squeeze pots - but, like you said, Q doesn't vary with P that much.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Robb
Final comment I'll make is this: I've never seen a post or video that talked about isolating isolators. Is everyone else just that much more aware of it that it doesn't need to be discussed? Or is it being discussed on FTR but not in the BC? It's the one thing about poker I discovered pretty much for myself, but it's such an obvious adjustment (once you see it) that I'm surprised it's not more widely talked about on FTR. We probably don't need to post on it in the BC, tho - it's one of those "have to pick your spots" spots where the picking can be a bit tricky.
posting it in the BC will get a bunch of them moving back down to 5nl in no time flat.... Umm, I guess I only really figured it out during my 18-15 FR experimentation over the last few months. That, and now that i watch the occasional video means i realise that all FR regs on Full Tilt have watched Fooz' series, which means they're all trying to isolate too frequently/inappropriately (at least until they learn what an iso really is and adjust back to sanity), which means you can take a 15-12 and 55% fold to 3-bet type, note they're iso-ing an MP limp from dead money and bang. I'm not sure if he talked about it in the vids or not? It has also lead to some light 4-betting on my part when I know their 3-bet is cos i was obviously isolating vs opening a decent hand
you know i can't read your ghost sig bro, i've been internalising a really complicated situation in my head
allin, reload, repeat

please read: http://www.philgalfond.com/lets-make-some-changes/
 
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