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Old 07-05-2009, 08:40 AM #16 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Alexos
Quote:
Originally Posted by iopq
Quote:
Originally Posted by jessyj
Quote:
Originally Posted by iopq
Quote:
Originally Posted by jessyj
Quote:
Originally Posted by iopq
I don't know, if you're not shoving here, why are you playing 99 to a 3b at all
you have 15 outs vs. black aces and you're ahead of a naked ace of hearts

but folding pf is not bad either since 3% is JJ+,AK exactly (sample size?)
Agree with the first part. Disagree the second because 3% is his overall 3b% but vs. a button raise it has to widen.
can't widen or overall would be higher
DUCY
No, I don't. If he 3bets 0 from ep and mp then naturally his 3b is wider in other positions.
so you're saying he's flatting AA from UTG+1
r u kidding
no im obv super duper serial
but anyway I think playing 99 here is going to be about as difficult as playing AQo

well it's not like we have any equity at all, it's just going to be really tough and we might have to minraise+1 some flops for protection against getting barreled and folding to a flop 3b or some crazy lines like that

we stack him 1/20 of the time or something when we flop a set
we get stacked the remaining 1/100 of the time
so we gain a stack 3% of the time (flop set and get it in 5% of the time, lose to suck out or higher set 1% of the time) so that's a 3bb profit from set minan
we need to get a 4bb profit from making him fold AK/bluff or show it down without beating us

it's possible because we're IP, but difficult
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