4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 3,068
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3b shove EV
Villain folds to Hero shove: 5.5 BB * (51/57) = 4.921
Villains calls, Hero wins: 31.5 BB * (6/57) * .196 = .650
Villain calls, Villain wins: -29.5 BB * (6/57) * .804 = -2.497
EV = 4.921 + .65 - 2.497 = 3.074 BB
3b 10BB EV
Villain folds to Hero 3b: 5.5 BB * (42/57) = 4.052
Villains shoves, Hero calls/wins: 31.5 BB * (15/57) * .379 = 3.142
Villain shoves, Villain wins: -29.5 BB * (15/57) * .621 = -4.821
EV = 4.052 + 3.142 - 4.821 = 2.373 BB
The differences I saw were in how to "count" the posted SB and in small differences in equity (I used poker stove to get mine). I was pretty tired when I did it, so I may have screwed up somewhere.
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