Full House
Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 1,198
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One thing to consider that I'm not sure many people think about is that when villain checks a second time in these spots then pots the river, he's going to show up with a huge hand a bit more often than when he makes like a hpsb on river after checking twice.
Reason for this being that once you check back the flop, if villain wants to get all the money in the pot there's actually no way to do so by him just betting turn and betting river, so he has to hope you decide to throw in a bet on the turn so that he can then raise. If he pots river, I suppose it could be a merge w/ a weak pair looking for value from A high, but it seems to me that most players don't think on this high of a level nor do they expect their opponents to. That's why something like a hpsb could be something like AK looking for value from a weaker A high or a small pair looking for value from an ace IMO.
Though because we didn't bet at any point there's certainly no reason for villain to not have some kind of hand w/ middle type strength that missed putting in a bet on the turn or didn't feel strong enough to bet though felt it was better as a bluff catcher.
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