4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: St. Louis
Posts: 3,654
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by rudefella
I like the analysis mcat dogg - losing 63 cents makes in it marginally losing play, I wonder if having this wider calling range is +EV for any image reasons. Also it being this close makes it seem like flatting with 66-88 might be break even or even profitable.
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It's not marginal. If $2 is the value of the chips in the preflop call and we're losing a full 1/3 of that value when we call it seems more like terrible than marginal. Also I looked at the math again and even if the guy with 44 gets all-in 100% of the time he hits a set his equity is still only $31.32 so it's literally impossible to make money here if you're playing no set, no bet.
I'm not a SnG expert so I have no idea what the lowest PP you can call with is here. I would guess you'd call with a range that's so strong, taipan can't profitably c-bet so much vs you anymore. If he's c-betting as often as he says, you should definitely just flat with AA and then raise his c-bet on about every flop.
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