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spoonitnow
Old 12-29-2008, 08:00 PM     Post subject: Continuation Betting Revisited #1 (permalink)  
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The purpose of this post is to ease some of you guys into doing some analysis on your own. I'm going to use an example of looking at a continuation bet since I figure that topic will attract you guys.

Suppose with 100bb stacks we open {AJ+, KQ, 66+} from some EP/MP position to 4x, a ~14/12 in FR or ~20/16 in 6-max calls us in LP, and everyone else folds. The flop comes A 9 7 . Here are some things to ask yourself:

1. What hands are you c-betting?
2. How much are you c-betting?
3. What hands are you folding to a raise?

I asked a low stakes player this, and this is what he had to say:

1. AJ+, KsQs, 99+, 77
2. 7 big blinds (into a pot of 9 big blinds after the rake)
3. QQ w/o Qs, JJ, TT, AJ w/o backdoor flush draw

With these answers, we can do a little analysis by breaking our range up into sub-ranges based on the line we're taking, which I do here along with how each hand and sub-range is weighted in terms of possible hand combinations:

Bet: AK(12), AQ(12), AJ(12), KsQs(1), 77(3), 99(3), TT(6), JJ(6), QQ(6), KK(6), 67 total
Check/fold: KQ(15), 66(6), 88(6), 27 total
Bet/fold: TT(6), JJ(6), QQ(3), AJ(8), 23 total

What do we think about this?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ripptyde
I only have 2 simple rules when I am coaching a new student.

Rule # 1: don't ask questions

Rule # 2: don't ask questions

I have no interest in discussing strategy with a protege'. Your job is to remain quiet and listen. I have a very systematic approach that I will share with the right candidate and I promise that I will turn you into a force of nature and show you elements of the game of poker that you never knew existed.
 
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