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Old 09-30-2008, 04:53 PM #3 (permalink)  
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here's the thing, his hand had to be good enough to slowplay on the flop because someone with AF of 3 is generally cbetting an all-paints flop since those are his cards

AK only makes sense if he checked behind to draw for free
but if he has AK he just turned his hand into a bluff when it has legitimate showdown value... would he do that? maybe

JJ, AJ, QQ beat us and slowplay the flop
but JJ wouldn't make sense because there would be no hand he could possibly shove for value into us
AJ can hope for worse trips to call and the huge overshove would get paid off by good hands, while bad hands can't call a small raise either so the overshove is higher EV...

I think AJ is the most likely hand because he raised on the river because the river improved him
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